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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Garner Eviction Risk: Lower , Flower Mound

Tract 48121021749 · Denton, TX · pop 3,894 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

Tract 48121021749 sits in the Garner area of Flower Mound eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 0% Owners 100%
Tract context
Occupied units1,153
Renter share0.4%
SVI overall0.00
Poverty rate3.6%
Median income$235,804

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Garner
Moderate
Within parent city
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 18 tracts In Flower Mound
Elevated
Within county
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#128 of 193 tracts In Denton
Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Flower Mound and the region

Centroid at 33.0549, -97.1018 · click any tract to drill in

Why Garner scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Flower Mound
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Flower Mound
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Flower Mound
4.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Flower Mound
4.1

How Garner compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Garner risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 021749Flower Mound: 3.43.4Flower Moundparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 0

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 8Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 6.64%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.0%Peak (2003)
  • 1Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 481210217492001: 1 filings (5.99/100 renter HHs)2002: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2003: 2 filings (11.99/100 renter HHs)2004: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2005: 2 filings (5.92/100 renter HHs)2006: 1 filings (2.96/100 renter HHs)2007: 1 filings (2.96/100 renter HHs)2010: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2011: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2012: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2013: 1 filings (10.00/100 renter HHs)2015: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2016: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 100% over the past 13 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 7Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 4.67×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Garner

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.1/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Court records carry 8 eviction filings across 6 observed years.

It sits 0.8 points below the Denton County average of 3.8. Filings peaked in 2003 at 12.0% of renter households. In a typical year about 6.6% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 0% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1/10. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48121021749

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021749?

Census tract 48121021749 in the Garner neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021749?

3.6% of residents in tract 48121021749 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,894.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021749?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 0th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 12th, minority 29th, housing 0th.
Q4

Is tract 48121021749 considered part of Garner?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48121021749 fall within Garner (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48121021749?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 8 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 48121021749 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.64% of renter households, peaking at 12.0% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48121021749 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 4.67× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48121021749 compare to Flower Mound overall?

Tract 48121021749 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Flower Mound at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Flower Mound eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Flower Mound

Top eight tracts in Flower Mound ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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