Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Magnolia Eviction Risk: Lower , Lantana
Tract 48121021754 ·
Denton, TX · pop 5,154 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi
Tract 48121021754 sits in the Magnolia area of Lantana, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 5,154. What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%Stable renters 2%Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units1,633
Renter share4.3%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate2.1%
Median income$226,076
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Magnolia
Moderate
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 2 tracts In Lantana
Very High
Within county
32th percentile
#132 of 193 tracts In Denton
Low
Within state
35th percentile
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lantana and the region
Centroid at 33.1010, -97.1295 · click any tract to drill in
Why Magnolia scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lantana
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
2.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,198 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lantana
2.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lantana
2.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lantana
2.1
How Magnolia compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 1
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
0%Socioeconomic
16%Household composition
34%Racial/ethnic minority
2%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
22Total filings 2020-21
0.3Avg monthly (observed)
0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
0.86×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Magnolia
The voucher gap is 69.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.
On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.3/10. 17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. It sits 0.8 points below the Denton County average of 3.8.
On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 4% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1/10. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $226,076, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 44% of renters.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121021754
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021754?
Census tract 48121021754 in the Magnolia neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121021754?
Median gross rent is $3,198/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021754?
2.1% of residents in tract 48121021754 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,154.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021754?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 0th, household 16th, minority 34th, housing 2th.
Q5
Is tract 48121021754 considered part of Magnolia?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48121021754 fall within Magnolia (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48121021754 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.86× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48121021754 compare to Lantana overall?
Tract 48121021754 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Lantana at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lantana; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lantana
Top eight tracts in Lantana ranked by composite eviction-risk score.