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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Kern Place Eviction Risk: Moderate , El Paso

Tract 48141001400 · El Paso, TX · pop 2,118 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

48141001400 is a census tract in the Kern Place area of El Paso, TX. It scores 4.9/10 for landlords. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 44% Owners 12%
Tract context
Occupied units936
Renter share87.9%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate41.0%
Median income$33,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 6 tracts In Kern Place
Very High
Within parent city
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 149 tracts In El Paso
Very High
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#22 of 188 tracts In El Paso
High
Within state
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#1,124 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across El Paso and the region

Centroid at 31.7878, -106.5218 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kern Place scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from El Paso
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
41.0% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$821 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from El Paso
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from El Paso
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from El Paso
3.5

How Kern Place compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Kern Place risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0014003.5El Pasoparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 12Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 1.65%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.7%Peak (2012)
  • 12Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Kern Place. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kern Place

The poverty rate is 41%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 88% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.

Severe burden reaches 22%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Adults with no health insurance runs 28.2% against 11.3% nationally. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Average gross rent is $821, 23% below the El Paso average. Against the El Paso County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. Court records carry 12 eviction filings across 1 observed years.

50% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the El Paso County average of 45.7%. The worst year on record was 2012, when 1.7% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 1.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #34,278 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48141001400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48141001400?

Census tract 48141001400 in the Kern Place neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48141001400?

Median gross rent is $821/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48141001400?

41.0% of residents in tract 48141001400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,118.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48141001400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 30th, minority 92th, housing 91th.
Q5

Is tract 48141001400 considered part of Kern Place?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48141001400 fall within Kern Place (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48141001400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 12 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 48141001400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.65% of renter households, peaking at 1.7% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 48141001400 compare to El Paso overall?

Tract 48141001400 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of El Paso at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from El Paso eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 48141001400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in El Paso

Top eight tracts in El Paso ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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