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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Kern Place Eviction Risk: Moderate , El Paso

Tract 48141001600 · El Paso, TX · pop 3,894 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Census tract 48141001600 covers part of the Kern Place area of El Paso, TX, and scores 4.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,894. Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 42% Owners 14%
Tract context
Occupied units2,198
Renter share86.4%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate24.3%
Median income$25,761

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 6 tracts In Kern Place
High
Within parent city
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#24 of 149 tracts In El Paso
High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 188 tracts In El Paso
Very High
Within state
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#1,124 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across El Paso and the region

Centroid at 31.7638, -106.4976 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kern Place scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from El Paso
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
24.3% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$774 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from El Paso
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from El Paso
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from El Paso
3.5

How Kern Place compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Kern Place risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0016003.5El Pasoparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 26Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 1.80%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.8%Peak (2012)
  • 26Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Kern Place. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kern Place

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. This is renter territory: 86% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Adults with no health insurance runs 30.5% against 11.3% nationally.

Annualized rent equals 36% of average household income of $25,761, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

At $774 a month, rents run 28% under what the rest of El Paso commands. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Against El Paso County at 45.7%, 51% of renters here are cost-burdened. It sits 1.0 points above the El Paso County average of 3.9.

The filing record is not thin: 26 evictions over 1 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2012, when 1.8% of renter households were served.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 1.8% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48141001600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48141001600?

Census tract 48141001600 in the Kern Place neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48141001600?

Median gross rent is $774/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48141001600?

24.3% of residents in tract 48141001600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,894.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48141001600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 88th, minority 94th, housing 93th.
Q5

Is tract 48141001600 considered part of Kern Place?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48141001600 fall within Kern Place (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48141001600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 26 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 48141001600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.80% of renter households, peaking at 1.8% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 48141001600 compare to El Paso overall?

Tract 48141001600 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of El Paso at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from El Paso eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 48141001600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 11% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in El Paso

Top eight tracts in El Paso ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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