Within neighborhood
60
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Kern Place Eviction Risk: Moderate , El Paso
Tract 48141002201 · El Paso, TX · pop 2,790 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
48141002201 is a census tract in the Kern Place area of El Paso, TX. It scores 4.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,790. Adults with no health insurance runs 32.0% against 11.3% nationally.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,075
Renter share57.7%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate25.1%
Median income$36,799
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
97
th percentile
Very High
Within county
90
th percentile
High
Within state
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across El Paso and the region
Centroid at 31.7785, -106.4811 · click any tract to drill in
Why Kern Place scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from El Paso
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
25.1% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$787 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from El Paso
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from El Paso
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from El Paso
3.5
How Kern Place compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 94%Household composition
- 92%Racial/ethnic minority
- 95%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 3%Grade A
- 11%Grade B
- 25%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 4Total filings over 1 yrs
- 0.61%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.6%Peak (2012)
- 4Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Kern Place. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Kern Place
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. At $787 a month, rents run 27% under what the rest of El Paso commands.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.6/10. Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
It sits 1.0 points above the El Paso County average of 3.9. Court records carry 4 eviction filings across 1 observed years. 50% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the El Paso County average of 45.7%.
The worst year on record was 2012, when 0.6% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for El Paso. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48141002201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48141002201?
Census tract 48141002201 in the Kern Place neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48141002201?
Median gross rent is $787/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48141002201?
25.1% of residents in tract 48141002201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,790.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48141002201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 94th, minority 92th, housing 95th.
Q5
Is tract 48141002201 considered part of Kern Place?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48141002201 fall within Kern Place (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48141002201?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 4 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 48141002201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.61% of renter households, peaking at 0.6% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 48141002201 compare to El Paso overall?
Tract 48141002201 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of El Paso at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from El Paso eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 48141002201 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in El Paso
Top eight tracts in El Paso ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48141003801
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48141001204
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48141002800
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48141000902
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48141004201
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48141002900
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48141003804
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48141003000
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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