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Neighborhood · El Paso, TX

Kern Place Eviction Risk: Moderate

6 census tracts · pop 19,544 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.2/10 · range 3–4.9

Kern Place spans 6 census tracts of El Paso, TX and houses 19,544 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.2/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a El Paso baseline of 31.8%, 53% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The severe-burden share is 28%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. At $780 a month, rents sit 27% under what the rest of El Paso commands.

Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 1.6/10. The 6 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3 to 4.9, a 1.9-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.

The poverty rate is 24%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Court records carry 144 eviction filings across its 6 observed tracts.

The worst year on record was 2012, when filings touched 7.9% of renter households. That places it #6 of 7 neighborhoods in El Paso.

Judgments average 1.6% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. For a like-for-like read, Buena Vista and Angel's Triangle score within a fraction of it.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.2 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
6 tracts · population-weighted
Kern Place vs El Paso How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
53.2% +67%
El Paso: 31.8%
Average gross rent
$780 -27%
El Paso: $1,073
Average HH income
$48,951 -17%
El Paso: $58,734
Poverty rate
23.7% +29%
El Paso: 18.4%
Renter share
61.2% +56%
El Paso: 39.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Kern Place and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 6 tracts span score 3–4.9

Why Kern Place scores 4.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Rent control risk
53% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
61% renter households · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
23.7% below poverty line · Range 2.8–10.0 across tracts
5.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–3.2 across tracts
1.6
Risk score comparison

Kern Place vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Kern Place score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.2Kern PlaceNeighborhood3.5Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Kern Place?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.9 points from 3 to 4.9. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

6 tracts in Kern Place

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
48141002202 4.9 3,958 51% $663
48141001600 4.9 3,894 51% $774
48141002201 4.9 2,790 50% $787
48141001400 4.9 2,118 50% $821
48141001501 3 4,240 63% $748
48141001502 3 2,544 50% $981
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 84

Pop-weighted across 6 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 84%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 77%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 87%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 70%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Kern Place

Aggregated across 6 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 144Total filings (sum)
  • 2.85%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.9%Peak year (2012)
  • 2.85%Latest filed (2012)
Frequently asked

About Kern Place

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Kern Place?

Kern Place scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Kern Place compare to El Paso overall?

Kern Place scores 0.7 points higher than El Paso overall (3.5/10). Renters spend 53% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $780 vs $1,073.
Q3

What is the average rent in Kern Place?

Average gross rent in Kern Place is $780/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Kern Place residents are renters?

61% of Kern Place households are renter-occupied (vs 39% in El Paso). The neighborhood has 19,544 residents.
Q5

Is Kern Place a high social-vulnerability area?

Kern Place sits in the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Kern Place have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Kern Place is census tract 48141002202 (score 4.9/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 4.9, a spread of 1.9 points.
Q7

How safe is Kern Place for landlords?

Kern Place carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.2/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to El Paso as a whole (3.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Kern Place?

Kern Place has 19,450 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (74.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (18.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (2.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Kern Place

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside El Paso

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Kern Place.

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