Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , El Paso
Tract 48141002100 · El Paso, TX · pop 1,977 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Tract 48141002100 sits in the Downtown Historic District area of El Paso eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. Population here is 1,977. Set annual rent against average income of $12,736 and the ratio lands at 54%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 55%
Stable renters 39%
Owners 6%
Tract context
Occupied units869
Renter share93.6%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate59.7%
Median income$12,736
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
78
th percentile
High
Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across El Paso and the region
Centroid at 31.7654, -106.4740 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown Historic District scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from El Paso
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
59.7% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$578 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from El Paso
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from El Paso
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from El Paso
3.5
How Downtown Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 100%Socioeconomic
- 76%Household composition
- 93%Racial/ethnic minority
- 87%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 49%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 6Total filings over 1 yrs
- 0.62%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.6%Peak (2012)
- 6Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown Historic District
The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. At $578 a month, rents run 46% under what the rest of El Paso commands. Adults with no health insurance runs 43.7% against 11.3% nationally.
The poverty rate is 60%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. This is renter territory: 94% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Disability prevalence runs 53.0% against 31.5% nationally. Against El Paso County at 45.7%, 59% of renters here are cost-burdened. Severe burden reaches 25%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. It sits 1.0 points above the El Paso County average of 3.9.
Court records carry 6 eviction filings across 1 observed years. The worst year on record was 2012, when 0.6% of renter households were served.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48141002100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48141002100?
Census tract 48141002100 in the Downtown Historic District neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48141002100?
Median gross rent is $578/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48141002100?
59.7% of residents in tract 48141002100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,977.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48141002100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 76th, minority 93th, housing 87th.
Q5
Is tract 48141002100 considered part of Downtown Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48141002100 fall within Downtown Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48141002100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 6 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 48141002100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.62% of renter households, peaking at 0.6% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 48141002100 compare to El Paso overall?
Tract 48141002100 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of El Paso at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from El Paso eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 48141002100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 49% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in El Paso
Top eight tracts in El Paso ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48141002300
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48141000108
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48141003602
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Angel's Triangle
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48141003701
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48141004320
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48141002500
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48141003702
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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