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Neighborhood · El Paso, TX

Downtown Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 5,158 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10 · range 4.9–4.9

Downtown Historic District spans 3 census tracts of El Paso, TX and houses 5,158 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.9/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. 53% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the El Paso rate of 31.8%.

Average gross rent is $529, 51% below the El Paso average of $1,073. The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 10/10.

The poverty rate is 57%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. 94% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

Set annual rent against average household income of $16,920 and the ratio lands at 38%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

The severe-burden share is 24%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 1/10.

Court records carry 22 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts. Filing activity peaked in 2012 at 3.5% of renter households.

That places it #1 of 7 neighborhoods in El Paso. Judgments average 1.6% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. For a like-for-like read, Durango and Las Playas score within a fraction of it.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Downtown Historic District vs El Paso How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
52.6% +65%
El Paso: 31.8%
Average gross rent
$529 -51%
El Paso: $1,073
Average HH income
$16,920 -71%
El Paso: $58,734
Poverty rate
57.0% +210%
El Paso: 18.4%
Renter share
94.4% +141%
El Paso: 39.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Downtown Historic District and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 4.9–4.9

Why Downtown Historic District scores 4.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Rent control risk
53% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
94% renter households · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
57.0% below poverty line · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

Downtown Historic District vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Downtown Historic District score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.9Downtown Historic Neighborhood3.5Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Downtown Historic District?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0 points from 4.9 to 4.9. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Downtown Historic District

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
48141001900 4.9 2,073 50% $470
48141002100 4.9 1,977 59% $578
48141001700 4.9 1,108 45% $550
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 99

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 100%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 79%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 93%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 90%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Downtown Historic District

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 22Total filings (sum)
  • 1.44%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.5%Peak year (2012)
  • 1.44%Latest filed (2012)
Frequently asked

About Downtown Historic District

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown Historic District?

Downtown Historic District scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Downtown Historic District compare to El Paso overall?

Downtown Historic District scores 1.4 points higher than El Paso overall (3.5/10). Renters spend 53% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $529 vs $1,073.
Q3

What is the average rent in Downtown Historic District?

Average gross rent in Downtown Historic District is $529/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Downtown Historic District residents are renters?

94% of Downtown Historic District households are renter-occupied (vs 39% in El Paso). The neighborhood has 5,158 residents.
Q5

Is Downtown Historic District a high social-vulnerability area?

Downtown Historic District sits in the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Downtown Historic District have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Downtown Historic District is census tract 48141001900 (score 4.9/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.9 to 4.9, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Downtown Historic District for landlords?

Downtown Historic District carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to El Paso as a whole (3.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown Historic District?

Downtown Historic District has 5,174 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (91.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (6.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (1.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Downtown Historic District

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside El Paso

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Downtown Historic District.

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