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Neighborhood · Ranked #8,138 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , El Paso

Tract 48141001900 · El Paso, TX · pop 2,073 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

The Downtown Historic District area of El Paso is where census tract 48141001900 sits, home to 2,073 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.6/10. That is riskier than about 59% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 50% of renter households, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $470 a month while the average household earns $14,699 a year, roughly 38% of income at the averages. About 93% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47% Stable renters 46% Owners 7%
Tract context
Occupied units981
Renter share93.0%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate53.2%
Median income$14,699

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Downtown Historic District
Very High
Within parent city
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#14 of 149 tracts In El Paso
Very High
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#18 of 188 tracts In El Paso
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#166 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across El Paso and the region

Centroid at 31.7524, -106.4807 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Historic District scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from El Paso
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
53.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$470 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from El Paso
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from El Paso
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from El Paso
3.5

How Downtown Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.46.4This tracttract 001900El Paso: 3.13.1El Pasoparent cityCounty: 5.05.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 100

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 9Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 1.14%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.1%Peak (2012)
  • 9Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Historic District

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from El Paso eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the El Paso County average of 5.0 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 90% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 100th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48141001900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48141001900?

Census tract 48141001900 in the Downtown Historic District neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48141001900?

Median gross rent is $470/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48141001900?

53.2% of residents in tract 48141001900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,073.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48141001900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 100th, minority 95th, housing 89th.
Q5

Is tract 48141001900 considered part of Downtown Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48141001900 fall within Downtown Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48141001900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 9 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 48141001900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.14% of renter households, peaking at 1.1% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 48141001900 compare to El Paso overall?

Tract 48141001900 scores 6.4/10, higher than the parent city of El Paso at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from El Paso eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 48141001900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 90% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in El Paso

Top eight tracts in El Paso ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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