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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Brays Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201422303 · Harris, TX · pop 2,651 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

Census tract 48201422303 covers part of the Brays Oaks area of Houston, TX, and scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,651. 45% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 49% Stable renters 42% Owners 9%
Tract context
Occupied units1,310
Renter share90.9%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate60.5%
Median income$25,714

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 11 tracts In Brays Oaks
Very High
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#243 of 952 tracts In Houston
Elevated
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#194 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#565 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.6478, -95.5058 · click any tract to drill in

Why Brays Oaks scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
60.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$988 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Brays Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Brays Oaks risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 4223033.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,050Total filings 2020-21
  • 13.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 19.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.71×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Brays Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Brays Oaks

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 60%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Set annual rent against average income of $25,714 and the ratio lands at 46%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

This is renter territory: 91% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Adults with no health insurance runs 31.2% against 11.3% nationally.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Disability prevalence runs 48.5% against 31.5% nationally.

At $988 a month, rents run 27% under what the rest of Houston commands. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. It sits 1.1 points above the Harris County average of 4.0.

Cost burden runs 54% here against 49.5% across Harris County. On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.7/10. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201422303

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201422303?

Census tract 48201422303 in the Brays Oaks neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201422303?

Median gross rent is $988/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201422303?

60.5% of residents in tract 48201422303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,651.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201422303?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 86th, minority 95th, housing 88th.
Q5

Is tract 48201422303 considered part of Brays Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201422303 fall within Brays Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201422303 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.71× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201422303 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201422303 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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