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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Heritage Grand Eviction Risk: Lower , Cinco Ranch

Tract 48157673106 · Fort Bend, TX · pop 5,408 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi

Tract 48157673106 sits in the Heritage Grand area of Cinco Ranch, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 5,408 residents. The voucher gap is 39.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 20% Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units2,277
Renter share33.6%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate6.2%
Median income$151,801

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Heritage Grand
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In Cinco Ranch
Moderate
Within county
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#106 of 133 tracts In Fort Bend
Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cinco Ranch and the region

Centroid at 29.7269, -95.7856 · click any tract to drill in

Why Heritage Grand scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cinco Ranch
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.2% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$2,129 rent vs county FMR
8.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cinco Ranch
2.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cinco Ranch
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cinco Ranch
3.5

How Heritage Grand compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Heritage Grand risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 6731063.4Cinco Ranchparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 26

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Heritage Grand

29% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 8.9/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.4/10.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. It sits 0.8 points below the Fort Bend County average of 3.8. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $151,801, annual rent is just 17%.

Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

40% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48157673106

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48157673106?

Census tract 48157673106 in the Heritage Grand neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48157673106?

Median gross rent is $2,129/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48157673106?

6.2% of residents in tract 48157673106 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,408.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48157673106?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 69th, minority 64th, housing 23th.
Q5

Is tract 48157673106 considered part of Heritage Grand?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48157673106 fall within Heritage Grand (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48157673106 compare to Cinco Ranch overall?

Tract 48157673106 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Cinco Ranch at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cinco Ranch; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cinco Ranch

Top eight tracts in Cinco Ranch ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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