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Neighborhood · Ranked #51,553 of 84,120 nationally

Mills Branch Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201251401 · Harris, TX · pop 3,065 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 48201251401 sits in the Mills Branch area of Houston eviction risk, Texas eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 4.7/10. It lands near the 28th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 23% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 1% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,438 monthly, set against $123,673 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 11% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 8% Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units832
Renter share10.8%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate11.8%
Median income$123,673

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Mills Branch
Very High
Within parent city
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#756 of 952 tracts In Houston
Low
Within county
26 th percentile
Rank, 26th percentileLowHigh
#831 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#4,159 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 30.0809, -95.1912 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mills Branch scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.8% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$2,438 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Mills Branch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mills Branch risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.43.4This tracttract 251401Houston: 2.82.8Houstonparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 32

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 56Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 9.80%Avg annual filing rate
  • 22.5%Peak (2015)
  • 16Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 482012514012009: 15 filings (9.94/100 renter HHs)2010: 4 filings (6.56/100 renter HHs)2011: 7 filings (9.86/100 renter HHs)2012: 3 filings (4.23/100 renter HHs)2013: 3 filings (4.23/100 renter HHs)2014: 8 filings (11.27/100 renter HHs)2015: 16 filings (22.54/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 74Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.64×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 4 filings (16.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2022-02-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2023-02-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 5 filings (2.86× baseline)2023-07-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2024-02-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 3 filings (12.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-04-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 4 filings (8.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Mills Branch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mills Branch

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Harris County average of 5.2 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 56 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 9.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 22.5% of renter households in 2015.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.64x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201251401

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201251401?

Census tract 48201251401 in the Mills Branch neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201251401?

Median gross rent is $2,438/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201251401?

11.8% of residents in tract 48201251401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,065.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201251401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 31th, minority 61th, housing 29th.
Q5

Is tract 48201251401 considered part of Mills Branch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201251401 fall within Mills Branch (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201251401?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 56 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201251401 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.80% of renter households, peaking at 22.5% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 48201251401 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.64× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 48201251401 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201251401 scores 3.4/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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