Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Mills Branch Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston
Tract 48201251401 · Harris, TX · pop 3,065 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Tract 48201251401 sits in the Mills Branch area of Houston eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Cost burden runs 23% here against 49.5% across Harris County.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units832
Renter share10.8%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate11.8%
Median income$123,673
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
26
th percentile
Low
Within county
32
th percentile
Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 30.0809, -95.1912 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mills Branch scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.8% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$2,438 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Mills Branch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 32
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 34%Socioeconomic
- 31%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 29%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 56Total filings over 7 yrs
- 9.80%Avg annual filing rate
- 22.5%Peak (2015)
- 16Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 74Total filings 2020-21
- 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.64×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Mills Branch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mills Branch
What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10. At $2,438 a month, rents run 79% over what the rest of Houston commands.
The voucher gap is 59.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. It sits 1.0 points below the Harris County average of 4.0. Court records carry 56 eviction filings across 7 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2015, when 22.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 9.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 11% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 3.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201251401
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201251401?
Census tract 48201251401 in the Mills Branch neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201251401?
Median gross rent is $2,438/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201251401?
11.8% of residents in tract 48201251401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,065.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201251401?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 31th, minority 61th, housing 29th.
Q5
Is tract 48201251401 considered part of Mills Branch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201251401 fall within Mills Branch (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201251401?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 56 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201251401 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.80% of renter households, peaking at 22.5% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48201251401 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.64× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48201251401 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201251401 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Mahatma Gandhi District
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Willow Run
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Settegast
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Central City
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Hamlin's Woodland
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Fondren Gardens
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Neuen Manor
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Braeburn
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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