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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Mills Branch Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201251503 · Harris, TX · pop 2,790 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 48201251503 covers part of the Mills Branch area of Houston, TX, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,790. Cost burden runs 15% here against 49.5% across Harris County.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 22% Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units845
Renter share26.3%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate1.8%
Median income$137,031

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Mills Branch
Very Low
Within parent city
26 th percentile
Rank, 26th percentileLowHigh
#701 of 952 tracts In Houston
Low
Within county
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#758 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 30.0727, -95.1832 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mills Branch scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
1.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,262 rent vs county FMR
9.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Mills Branch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mills Branch risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 2515033.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 4

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 16Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 3.13%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.7%Peak (2010)
  • 3Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 48201251503
Filings climbed 50% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 27Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Mills Branch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mills Branch

Average gross rent is $2,262, 66% above the Houston average. The dominant input is supply constraint at 9.8/10. The voucher gap is 47.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10.

14% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. It sits 1.0 points below the Harris County average of 4.0.

The filing record is not thin: 16 evictions over 7 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2010 at 7.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 3.1% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201251503

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201251503?

Census tract 48201251503 in the Mills Branch neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201251503?

Median gross rent is $2,262/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 15% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201251503?

1.8% of residents in tract 48201251503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,790.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201251503?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 17th, minority 50th, housing 1th.
Q5

Is tract 48201251503 considered part of Mills Branch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201251503 fall within Mills Branch (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201251503?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 16 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201251503 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.13% of renter households, peaking at 7.7% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 48201251503 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 48201251503 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201251503 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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