Skip to content
Neighborhood · Houston, TX

Mills Branch Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 5,855 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Mills Branch spans 2 census tracts of Houston, TX and houses 5,855 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3/10, placing it in the Lower tier. At $2,354 a month, rents sit 73% over what the rest of Houston commands.

The voucher gap is 54.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. What pushes the score up most is supply constraint at 9.9/10. Cost burden runs 20% against 32.1% citywide, putting Mills Branch 12.6% under its own city.

Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 2/10. Court records carry 72 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts.

Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 22.5% of renter households. Among the 397 mapped neighborhoods of Houston, it ranks #241 by risk, the middle third.

Judgments average 4.1% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. At 18% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. The closest comparables inside the same city are Wingspan at Bridgeland and Longwood Village.

Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

With little internal variation, 3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Mills Branch vs Houston How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
19.5% -39%
Houston: 32.1%
Average gross rent
$2,354 +73%
Houston: $1,361
Average HH income
$130,038 +107%
Houston: $62,894
Poverty rate
7.0% -64%
Houston: 19.7%
Renter share
18.2% -69%
Houston: 57.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mills Branch and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–3

Why Mills Branch scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
20% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
18% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
7.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–3.0 across tracts
2.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 9.8–10.0 across tracts
9.9
Risk score comparison

Mills Branch vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Mills Branch score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0Mills BranchNeighborhood3.7Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Mills Branch

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48201251401 3 3,065 23% $2,438
48201251503 3 2,790 15% $2,262
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 19

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 26%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 25%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 56%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 16%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Mills Branch

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 72Total filings (sum)
  • 6.63%Avg annual filing rate
  • 22.5%Peak year (2015)
  • 13.32%Latest filed (2015)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 101Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.7Avg monthly observed
  • 0.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.81×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston, TX).

Frequently asked

About Mills Branch

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Mills Branch?

Mills Branch scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Mills Branch compare to Houston overall?

Mills Branch scores 0.7 points lower than Houston overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 20% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,354 vs $1,361.
Q3

What is the average rent in Mills Branch?

Average gross rent in Mills Branch is $2,354/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Mills Branch residents are renters?

18% of Mills Branch households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Houston). The neighborhood has 5,855 residents.
Q5

Is Mills Branch a high social-vulnerability area?

Mills Branch sits in the 19th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Mills Branch have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Mills Branch is census tract 48201251401 (score 3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Mills Branch for landlords?

Mills Branch carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Houston as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Mills Branch?

Mills Branch has 5,808 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (58.4%), Hispanic / Latino (21.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (11%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Mills Branch

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Houston

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Mills Branch.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further