Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Country Club Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , Baytown
Tract 48201253502 · Harris, TX · pop 4,317 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 48201253502 covers part of the Country Club Oaks area of Baytown, TX, and scores 4.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. 44% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,141
Renter share45.2%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate16.3%
Median income$66,489
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
71
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Baytown and the region
Centroid at 29.7786, -95.0122 · click any tract to drill in
Why Country Club Oaks scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Baytown
2.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.3% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,031 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baytown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baytown
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baytown
6.9
How Country Club Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 96
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 79%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 269Total filings 2020-21
- 3.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Country Club Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Country Club Oaks
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.9/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Adults with no health insurance runs 27.2% against 11.3% nationally. Against Harris County at 49.5%, 59% of renters here are cost-burdened.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. At $1,031 a month, rents run 21% under what the rest of Baytown commands. That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 9.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Harris County average of 4.0 closely. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $66,489.
45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201253502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201253502?
Census tract 48201253502 in the Country Club Oaks neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201253502?
Median gross rent is $1,031/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201253502?
16.3% of residents in tract 48201253502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,317.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201253502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 97th, minority 79th, housing 79th.
Q5
Is tract 48201253502 considered part of Country Club Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201253502 fall within Country Club Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201253502 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201253502 compare to Baytown overall?
Tract 48201253502 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Baytown at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baytown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Baytown
Top eight tracts in Baytown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48201253000
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48201254400
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48201254800
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Country Club Oaks
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48201253800
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48201254000
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48201254100
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48201254300
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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