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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally

Magnolia Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201310900 · Harris, TX · pop 4,911 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

In the Magnolia Park area of Houston, census tract 48201310900 scores 5.4/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #40,623 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 49% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,087 a month while the average household earns $44,330 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 55% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 28% Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units1,897
Renter share55.1%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate21.1%
Median income$44,330

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Magnolia Park
Very High
Within parent city
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#273 of 952 tracts In Houston
Elevated
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#294 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Elevated
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#1,216 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.7357, -95.3010 · click any tract to drill in

Why Magnolia Park scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
21.1% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$1,087 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Magnolia Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Magnolia Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.55.5This tracttract 310900Houston: 2.82.8Houstonparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 302Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 3.70%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.7%Peak (2014)
  • 56Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 482013109002009: 32 filings (3.26/100 renter HHs)2010: 35 filings (3.07/100 renter HHs)2011: 33 filings (2.75/100 renter HHs)2012: 42 filings (3.49/100 renter HHs)2013: 48 filings (3.99/100 renter HHs)2014: 56 filings (4.66/100 renter HHs)2015: 56 filings (4.66/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 75% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 650Total filings 2020-21
  • 8.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 4.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.02×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 8 filings (1.88× baseline)2020-02-01: 3 filings (0.63× baseline)2020-03-01: 5 filings (0.95× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 2 filings (0.47× baseline)2020-06-01: 8 filings (1.33× baseline)2020-07-01: 4 filings (0.94× baseline)2020-08-01: 2 filings (0.44× baseline)2020-09-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2021-01-01: 3 filings (0.71× baseline)2021-02-01: 4 filings (0.84× baseline)2021-03-01: 6 filings (1.14× baseline)2021-04-01: 4 filings (0.76× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (0.24× baseline)2021-06-01: 10 filings (1.67× baseline)2021-07-01: 5 filings (1.18× baseline)2021-08-01: 2 filings (0.44× baseline)2021-09-01: 4 filings (1.14× baseline)2021-10-01: 17 filings (2.52× baseline)2021-11-01: 7 filings (2.80× baseline)2021-12-01: 5 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 8 filings (1.88× baseline)2022-02-01: 11 filings (2.32× baseline)2022-03-01: 11 filings (2.10× baseline)2022-04-01: 17 filings (3.24× baseline)2022-05-01: 8 filings (1.88× baseline)2022-06-01: 10 filings (1.67× baseline)2022-07-01: 7 filings (1.65× baseline)2022-08-01: 21 filings (4.67× baseline)2022-09-01: 16 filings (4.57× baseline)2022-10-01: 13 filings (1.93× baseline)2022-11-01: 14 filings (5.60× baseline)2022-12-01: 17 filings (6.80× baseline)2023-01-01: 16 filings (3.76× baseline)2023-02-01: 13 filings (2.74× baseline)2023-03-01: 13 filings (2.48× baseline)2023-04-01: 7 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-05-01: 7 filings (1.65× baseline)2023-06-01: 14 filings (2.33× baseline)2023-07-01: 5 filings (1.18× baseline)2023-08-01: 9 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 7 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 9 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-11-01: 8 filings (3.20× baseline)2023-12-01: 13 filings (5.20× baseline)2024-01-01: 22 filings (5.18× baseline)2024-02-01: 8 filings (1.68× baseline)2024-03-01: 12 filings (2.29× baseline)2024-04-01: 8 filings (1.52× baseline)2024-05-01: 8 filings (1.88× baseline)2024-06-01: 5 filings (0.83× baseline)2024-07-01: 6 filings (1.41× baseline)2024-08-01: 9 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 12 filings (3.43× baseline)2024-10-01: 18 filings (2.67× baseline)2024-11-01: 10 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 8 filings (3.20× baseline)2025-01-01: 14 filings (3.29× baseline)2025-02-01: 10 filings (2.11× baseline)2025-03-01: 5 filings (0.95× baseline)2025-04-01: 6 filings (1.14× baseline)2025-05-01: 6 filings (1.41× baseline)2025-06-01: 16 filings (2.67× baseline)2025-07-01: 12 filings (2.82× baseline)2025-08-01: 8 filings (1.78× baseline)2025-09-01: 13 filings (3.71× baseline)2025-10-01: 3 filings (0.44× baseline)2025-11-01: 9 filings (3.60× baseline)2025-12-01: 9 filings (3.60× baseline)2026-01-01: 18 filings (180.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Magnolia Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Magnolia Park

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 5.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Harris County average of 5.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201310900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201310900?

Census tract 48201310900 in the Magnolia Park neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201310900?

Median gross rent is $1,087/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201310900?

21.1% of residents in tract 48201310900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,911.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201310900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 86th, minority 93th, housing 76th.
Q5

Is tract 48201310900 considered part of Magnolia Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201310900 fall within Magnolia Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201310900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 302 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201310900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.70% of renter households, peaking at 4.7% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 48201310900 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.02× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 48201310900 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201310900 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 48201310900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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