Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Magnolia Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201310800 · Harris, TX · pop 2,996 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
With a score of 4.5/10, tract 48201310800 in the Magnolia Park area of Houston, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,996 residents. Adults with no health insurance runs 36.4% against 11.3% nationally.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units1,185
Renter share70.1%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate16.1%
Median income$52,654
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
71
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.7300, -95.3108 · click any tract to drill in
Why Magnolia Park scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.1% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,092 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Magnolia Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 89%Socioeconomic
- 59%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 76%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 6%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 76Total filings over 7 yrs
- 1.78%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.2%Peak (2009)
- 12Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 43% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 593Total filings 2020-21
- 7.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 9.41×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Magnolia Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Magnolia Park
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. This is renter territory: 70% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Cost burden runs 43% here against 49.5% across Harris County.
At $1,092 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Houston commands. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 76 filings here across 7 tracked years.
The severe-burden share is 9%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The worst year on record was 2009, when 3.2% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Houston. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 1.8% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201310800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201310800?
Census tract 48201310800 in the Magnolia Park neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201310800?
Median gross rent is $1,092/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201310800?
16.1% of residents in tract 48201310800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,996.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201310800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 59th, minority 91th, housing 76th.
Q5
Is tract 48201310800 considered part of Magnolia Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201310800 fall within Magnolia Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201310800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 76 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201310800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.78% of renter households, peaking at 3.2% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48201310800 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 9.41× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48201310800 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201310800 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 48201310800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48201222100
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Mykawa
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Lamar Terrace
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Spring Branch
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Royal Crest
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
North Shadydale
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Hamlin's Woodland
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Inwood Northwest
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Related