Within neighborhood
75
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally
Magnolia Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201311100 · Harris, TX · pop 4,732 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
For landlords sizing up Magnolia Park in Houston, census tract 48201311100 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.7/10. It lands near the 27th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
29% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 6% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $877 monthly, set against $44,006 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 49% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,706
Renter share48.5%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate19.1%
Median income$44,006
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
68
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.7332, -95.2863 · click any tract to drill in
Why Magnolia Park scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
19.1% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$877 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Magnolia Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 86
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 70%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 7%Grade B
- 55%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 117Total filings over 7 yrs
- 2.00%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.6%Peak (2013)
- 20Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 43% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 180Total filings 2020-21
- 2.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.35×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Magnolia Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Magnolia Park
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 4.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Harris County average of 5.2 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 117 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 2.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.6% of renter households in 2013.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.35x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201311100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201311100?
Census tract 48201311100 in the Magnolia Park neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201311100?
Median gross rent is $877/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201311100?
19.1% of residents in tract 48201311100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,732.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201311100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 67th, minority 97th, housing 70th.
Q5
Is tract 48201311100 considered part of Magnolia Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201311100 fall within Magnolia Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201311100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 117 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201311100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.00% of renter households, peaking at 2.6% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48201311100 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.35× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48201311100 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201311100 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 48201311100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Brookhaven
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Foster Place
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Crestmont
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Parkridge
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Highland Heights
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Canfield Oaks
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
East Houston
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Fondren Gardens
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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