Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally

Magnolia Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201311001 · Harris, TX · pop 2,756 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

48201311001 is a census tract in the Magnolia Park area of Houston, TX. It scores 4.3/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,756 residents. Adults with no health insurance runs 40.4% against 11.3% nationally.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 23% Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,077
Renter share43.3%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate16.4%
Median income$59,896

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In Magnolia Park
Very Low
Within parent city
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#421 of 952 tracts In Houston
Elevated
Within county
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#470 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Elevated
Within state
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2,275 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.7458, -95.3037 · click any tract to drill in

Why Magnolia Park scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.4% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,043 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Magnolia Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Magnolia Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.3This tracttract 3110013.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 65

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 175Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.79×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Magnolia Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Magnolia Park

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. 22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Average gross rent is $1,043, 23% below the Houston average.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 47% of renters.

It tracks the Harris County average of 4.0 closely. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $59,896.

43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201311001

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201311001?

Census tract 48201311001 in the Magnolia Park neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201311001?

Median gross rent is $1,043/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201311001?

16.4% of residents in tract 48201311001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,756.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201311001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 6th, minority 97th, housing 32th.
Q5

Is tract 48201311001 considered part of Magnolia Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201311001 fall within Magnolia Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201311001 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.79× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201311001 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201311001 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 48201311001 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related