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Neighborhood · Ranked #81,053 of 84,120 nationally

Gulf Palms Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201321102 · Harris, TX · pop 4,012 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Here is how census tract 48201321102, in the Gulf Palms area of Houston eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 3.8/10 eviction-risk score (Lower tier) across a population of 4,012. It lands near the 8th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

0% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $71,534 a year. About 4% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.6
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 4% Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units1,159
Renter share4.4%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate7.5%
Median income$71,534

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileBottomTop
#7 of 7 tracts In Gulf Palms
Very Low
Within parent city
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileBottomTop
#867 of 952 tracts In Houston
Very Low
Within county
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileBottomTop
#1,018 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Very Low
Within state
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileBottomTop
#5,930 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.6278, -95.2136 · click any tract to drill in

Why Gulf Palms scores 1.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.5% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Gulf Palms compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Gulf Palms risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.61.6This tracttract 321102Houston: 2.72.7Houstonparent cityCounty: 2.82.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 2.62.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 78

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)

  • 66Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.71×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020-2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2021-11-01: 3 filings (2.40× baseline)2021-12-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-03-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-09-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 3 filings (6.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-05-01: 4 filings (3.20× baseline)2023-06-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2023-10-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2023-11-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2023-12-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2024-02-01: 3 filings (2.40× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-05-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-08-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2024-10-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 4 filings (2.29× baseline)2025-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Gulf Palms. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Gulf Palms

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Harris County average of 5.2 and below the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.71x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201321102

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201321102?

Census tract 48201321102 in the Gulf Palms neighborhood scores 1.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201321102?

7.5% of residents in tract 48201321102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,012.

Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201321102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 98th, minority 94th, housing 3th.

Q4

Is tract 48201321102 considered part of Gulf Palms?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201321102 fall within Gulf Palms (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

Q5

Did eviction filings in tract 48201321102 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.71× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.

Q6

How does tract 48201321102 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201321102 scores 1.6/10, lower than the parent city of Houston at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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