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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Gulf Palms Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201334001 · Harris, TX · pop 3,413 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

With a score of 5.1/10, tract 48201334001 in the Gulf Palms area of Houston, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 51% Stable renters 27% Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units1,179
Renter share77.9%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate23.0%
Median income$44,479

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 7 tracts In Gulf Palms
Elevated
Within parent city
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 952 tracts In Houston
Very High
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#172 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#565 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.6164, -95.2262 · click any tract to drill in

Why Gulf Palms scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
23.0% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$1,351 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Gulf Palms compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Gulf Palms risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 3340013.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,022Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 19.44%Avg annual filing rate
  • 21.9%Peak (2013)
  • 155Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 48201334001
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 582Total filings 2020-21
  • 7.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 11.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.64×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Gulf Palms. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Gulf Palms

Cost burden runs 65% here against 49.5% across Harris County. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Annualized rent equals 36% of average household income of $44,479, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. 78% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 27.0% against 11.3% nationally. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,022 filings here across 7 tracked years.

The worst year on record was 2013, when 21.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 19.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #31,049 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201334001

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201334001?

Census tract 48201334001 in the Gulf Palms neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201334001?

Median gross rent is $1,351/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201334001?

23.0% of residents in tract 48201334001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,413.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201334001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 99th, minority 94th, housing 76th.
Q5

Is tract 48201334001 considered part of Gulf Palms?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201334001 fall within Gulf Palms (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201334001?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,022 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201334001 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.44% of renter households, peaking at 21.9% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 48201334001 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.64× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 48201334001 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201334001 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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