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Neighborhood · Ranked #70,218 of 84,120 nationally

Gulf Palms Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201321302 · Harris, TX · pop 2,148 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

How risky is Gulf Palms in Houston for landlords? Census tract 48201321302 scores 4.8/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 31st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 31% of renter households, a high level, and 2% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,105 a month against an average household income of $66,156 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 36% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 25% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units587
Renter share36.3%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate21.1%
Median income$66,156

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileBottomTop
#5 of 7 tracts In Gulf Palms
Low
Within parent city
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileBottomTop
#607 of 952 tracts In Houston
Low
Within county
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileBottomTop
#668 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Moderate
Within state
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileBottomTop
#3,278 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.6447, -95.2117 · click any tract to drill in

Why Gulf Palms scores 2.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
21.1% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$1,105 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Gulf Palms compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Gulf Palms risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.62.6This tracttract 321302Houston: 2.72.7Houstonparent cityCounty: 2.82.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 2.62.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)

  • 136Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.79×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020-2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 4 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2020-03-01: 1 filings (0.27× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-09-01: 4 filings (3.20× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2022-01-01: 5 filings (1.25× baseline)2022-02-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 4 filings (1.78× baseline)2022-06-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2022-07-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-08-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-09-01: 3 filings (2.40× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 5 filings (1.25× baseline)2023-02-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-03-01: 1 filings (0.27× baseline)2023-04-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 8 filings (3.56× baseline)2023-06-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2023-07-01: 5 filings (2.86× baseline)2023-08-01: 9 filings (6.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-12-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2024-01-01: 2 filings (0.50× baseline)2024-02-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-09-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2024-10-01: 4 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2025-01-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2025-02-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 3 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-04-01: 17 filings (8.50× baseline)2025-05-01: 3 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-06-01: 3 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-07-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2025-08-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2025-09-01: 4 filings (3.20× baseline)2025-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-12-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Gulf Palms. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Gulf Palms

What moves this score most is economic stress at 5.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Harris County average of 5.2 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.79x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201321302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201321302?

Census tract 48201321302 in the Gulf Palms neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201321302?

Median gross rent is $1,105/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201321302?

21.1% of residents in tract 48201321302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,148.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201321302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 90th, minority 87th, housing 38th.

Q5

Is tract 48201321302 considered part of Gulf Palms?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201321302 fall within Gulf Palms (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201321302 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.79× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.

Q7

How does tract 48201321302 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201321302 scores 2.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Houston at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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