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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,485 of 84,120 nationally

Gulf Palms Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201321002 · Harris, TX · pop 5,279 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Tract 48201321002 covers the Gulf Palms neighborhood of Houston in Texas. Home to 5,279 residents, it scores $1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 37th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 79% of renter households, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,182 a month against an average household income of $59,496 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 6% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,783
Renter share30.5%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate7.9%
Median income$59,496

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileBottomTop
#4 of 7 tracts In Gulf Palms
Moderate
Within parent city
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileBottomTop
#402 of 952 tracts In Houston
Elevated
Within county
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileBottomTop
#563 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Moderate
Within state
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileBottomTop
#2,725 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.6399, -95.2258 · click any tract to drill in

Why Gulf Palms scores 2.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.9% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,182 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Gulf Palms compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Gulf Palms risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.82.8This tracttract 321002Houston: 2.72.7Houstonparent cityCounty: 2.82.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 2.62.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)

  • 125Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.83×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020-2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-02-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2020-03-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 4 filings (1.07× baseline)2020-06-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2020-07-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-01-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2022-01-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-02-01: 3 filings (1.09× baseline)2022-03-01: 3 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-04-01: 2 filings (0.40× baseline)2022-05-01: 4 filings (1.07× baseline)2022-06-01: 3 filings (1.20× baseline)2022-07-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 7 filings (2.80× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 4 filings (3.20× baseline)2022-12-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-01-01: 3 filings (2.40× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2023-04-01: 3 filings (0.60× baseline)2023-05-01: 8 filings (2.13× baseline)2023-06-01: 5 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2023-10-01: 5 filings (6.67× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-01-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2024-02-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 1 filings (0.20× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2024-07-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 3 filings (1.20× baseline)2024-09-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2024-10-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-11-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2024-12-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2025-03-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 2 filings (0.53× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2025-09-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2025-10-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-11-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-12-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Gulf Palms. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Gulf Palms

The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at 3.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Harris County average of 5.2 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.83x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201321002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201321002?

Census tract 48201321002 in the Gulf Palms neighborhood scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201321002?

Median gross rent is $1,182/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 79% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201321002?

7.9% of residents in tract 48201321002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,279.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201321002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 62th, minority 90th, housing 47th.

Q5

Is tract 48201321002 considered part of Gulf Palms?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201321002 fall within Gulf Palms (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).

Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201321002 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.83× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.

Q7

How does tract 48201321002 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201321002 scores 2.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Houston at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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