Within neighborhood
20
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
Brays Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston
Tract 48201423401 · Harris, TX · pop 5,196 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Tract 48201423401 sits in the Brays Oaks area of Houston eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.8/10. It is home to 5,196 residents. Cost burden runs about three-quarters here against 49.5% across Harris County.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,803
Renter share46.2%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate13.9%
Median income$72,581
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
49
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
56
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.6498, -95.5164 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brays Oaks scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.9% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,073 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Brays Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 83%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,275Total filings over 7 yrs
- 20.87%Avg annual filing rate
- 24.8%Peak (2013)
- 125Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 23% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 509Total filings 2020-21
- 6.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 13.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.48×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Brays Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Brays Oaks
Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. At $1,073 a month, rents run 21% under what the rest of Houston commands. The filing record is not thin: 1,275 evictions over 7 years of observation.
Adults with no health insurance runs 18.9% against 11.3% nationally. Filings peaked in 2013 at 24.8% of renter households. In a typical year about 20.9% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 38th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 9.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Against average income of $72,581, annual rent is just 18%. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201423401
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201423401?
Census tract 48201423401 in the Brays Oaks neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201423401?
Median gross rent is $1,073/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 76% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201423401?
13.9% of residents in tract 48201423401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,196.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201423401?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 97th, minority 87th, housing 83th.
Q5
Is tract 48201423401 considered part of Brays Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201423401 fall within Brays Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201423401?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,275 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201423401 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 20.87% of renter households, peaking at 24.8% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48201423401 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.48× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48201423401 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201423401 scores 3.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Greenspoint
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Oak Manor
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Mahatma Gandhi District
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Bellaire West
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Highland Heights
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Silverdale
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
East Houston
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Meadowbrook
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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