Neighborhood · Ranked #60,609 of 84,120 nationally

Brays Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201423401 · Harris, TX · pop 5,196 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 48201423401 belongs to the Brays Oaks area of Houston, Texas. It is home to 5,196 residents and scores 5.2/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 44% of US census tracts.

76% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,073 a month while the average household earns $72,581 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 46% of occupied homes.

Risk score

3.3

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 11% Owners 54%

Tract context

Occupied units1,803

Renter share46.2%

SVI overall0.97

Poverty rate13.9%

Median income$72,581

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.6498, -95.5164 · click any tract to drill in

Why Brays Oaks scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Houston

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

Texas legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

13.9% poverty · this tract

3.5

Supply constraint

$1,073 rent vs county FMR

2.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Houston

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Houston

3.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Houston

2.5

How Brays Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

95%Socioeconomic
97%Household composition
87%Racial/ethnic minority
83%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

1,275Total filings over 7 yrs
20.87%Avg annual filing rate
24.8%Peak (2013)
125Filings in 2015 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2009 to 2015

Filings dropped 23% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)

509Total filings 2020-21
6.6Avg monthly (observed)
13.9Pre-pandemic baseline
0.48×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020-2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Brays Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Brays Oaks

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 3.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Harris County average of 5.2 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Black and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,275 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 20.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 24.8% of renter households in 2013.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201423401

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201423401?

Census tract 48201423401 in the Brays Oaks neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 48201423401?

Median gross rent is $1,073/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 76% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201423401?

13.9% of residents in tract 48201423401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,196.

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201423401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 97th, minority 87th, housing 83th.

Is tract 48201423401 considered part of Brays Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201423401 fall within Brays Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201423401?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,275 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201423401 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 20.87% of renter households, peaking at 24.8% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 48201423401 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.48× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.

How does tract 48201423401 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201423401 scores 3.3/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.