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Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally

Brays Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201423201 · Harris, TX · pop 2,957 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

With a score of 4.2/10, tract 48201423201 in the Brays Oaks area of Houston, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,957. 20% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Harris County average of 49.5%.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 22% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units927
Renter share27.9%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate18.0%
Median income$72,107

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 11 tracts In Brays Oaks
Moderate
Within parent city
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#436 of 952 tracts In Houston
Moderate
Within county
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#490 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Elevated
Within state
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#2,442 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.6609, -95.5427 · click any tract to drill in

Why Brays Oaks scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
18.0% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,676 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Brays Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Brays Oaks risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.2This tracttract 4232013.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 128Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 8.04%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.7%Peak (2013)
  • 18Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 48201423201
Filings climbed 29% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 52Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.44×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Brays Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Brays Oaks

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 24.2% against 11.3% nationally. At $1,676 a month, rents run 23% over what the rest of Houston commands. 10% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 128 filings here across 7 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2013 at 12.7% of renter households.

In a typical year about 8.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Harris County average of 4.0 closely.

Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $72,107.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201423201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201423201?

Census tract 48201423201 in the Brays Oaks neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201423201?

Median gross rent is $1,676/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201423201?

18.0% of residents in tract 48201423201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,957.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201423201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 64th, minority 80th, housing 37th.
Q5

Is tract 48201423201 considered part of Brays Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201423201 fall within Brays Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201423201?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 128 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201423201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.04% of renter households, peaking at 12.7% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 48201423201 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.44× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 48201423201 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201423201 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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