Within neighborhood
30
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Brays Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201423402 · Harris, TX · pop 4,587 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 48201423402 sits in the Brays Oaks area of Houston eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.2/10. Population here is 4,587. Cost burden runs 11% here against 49.5% across Harris County.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,447
Renter share30.2%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate15.1%
Median income$60,246
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
55
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.6486, -95.5297 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brays Oaks scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.1% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$967 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Brays Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 77
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 72%Socioeconomic
- 70%Household composition
- 98%Racial/ethnic minority
- 60%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 737Total filings over 7 yrs
- 25.66%Avg annual filing rate
- 45.2%Peak (2012)
- 93Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 69% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 158Total filings 2020-21
- 2.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 10.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.20×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Brays Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Brays Oaks
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.3/10. At $967 a month, rents run 29% under what the rest of Houston commands.
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 11%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
The filing record is not thin: 737 evictions over 7 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2012 at 45.2% of renter households.
In a typical year about 25.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #45,786 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 7.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
It tracks the Harris County average of 4.0 closely. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $60,246. 30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201423402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201423402?
Census tract 48201423402 in the Brays Oaks neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201423402?
Median gross rent is $967/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 11% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201423402?
15.1% of residents in tract 48201423402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,587.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201423402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 70th, minority 98th, housing 60th.
Q5
Is tract 48201423402 considered part of Brays Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201423402 fall within Brays Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201423402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 737 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201423402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 25.66% of renter households, peaking at 45.2% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48201423402 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.20× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48201423402 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201423402 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Northline Terrace
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
University Village
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Westwood South
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Westwood South
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48201222900
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Mayfair
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Mahatma Gandhi District
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Huntington Village
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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