Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Brays Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201423304 · Harris, TX · pop 3,557 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 48201423304 covers part of the Brays Oaks area of Houston, TX, and scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,557 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,433
Renter share48.6%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate17.7%
Median income$52,958
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
75
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.6608, -95.5204 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brays Oaks scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
17.7% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$1,221 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Brays Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 99%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 43%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 206Total filings 2020-21
- 2.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.91×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Brays Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Brays Oaks
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.
54% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Harris County average of 49.5%. Average gross rent is $1,221, 10% below the Houston average.
On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Harris County average of 4.0 closely. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $52,958. 49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201423304
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201423304?
Census tract 48201423304 in the Brays Oaks neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201423304?
Median gross rent is $1,221/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201423304?
17.7% of residents in tract 48201423304 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,557.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201423304?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 99th, minority 85th, housing 43th.
Q5
Is tract 48201423304 considered part of Brays Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201423304 fall within Brays Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201423304 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.91× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201423304 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201423304 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Mahatma Gandhi District
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Highland Heights
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Hobby
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48201221400
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Greenspoint
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Mayfair
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Westwood South
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Yorkwood
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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