Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #49,882 of 84,120 nationally
Brays Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston
Tract 48201423500 · Harris, TX · pop 2,163 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Eviction risk in Brays Oaks in Houston centers on tract 48201423500, which scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier) and is home to 2,163 residents. That is riskier than about 7% of US census tracts.
0% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $95,156 a year. Renters make up 2% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 98%
Tract context
Occupied units745
Renter share2.1%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$95,156
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
23
th percentile
Low
Within county
27
th percentile
Low
Within state
42
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.6509, -95.5412 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brays Oaks scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Brays Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 32
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 50%Socioeconomic
- 52%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 55Total filings over 7 yrs
- 13.33%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.3%Peak (2011)
- 7Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 22% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 7Total filings 2020-21
- 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.16×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Brays Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Brays Oaks
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well below the Harris County average of 5.2 and below the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.16x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 55 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 13.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 13.3% of renter households in 2011.
For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201423500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201423500?
Census tract 48201423500 in the Brays Oaks neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201423500?
5.5% of residents in tract 48201423500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,163.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201423500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 52th, minority 78th, housing 5th.
Q4
Is tract 48201423500 considered part of Brays Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201423500 fall within Brays Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201423500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 55 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201423500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.33% of renter households, peaking at 13.3% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201423500 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.16× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201423500 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201423500 scores 3.5/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Canfield Oaks
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
East Houston
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
East Houston
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Fondren Gardens
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48201221400
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brookhaven
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48201222702
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Remington Ranch
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Related