Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #58,384 of 84,120 nationally
Timbergrove Manor Section 2 Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston
Tract 48201511301 · Harris, TX · pop 4,616 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
The Timbergrove Manor Section 2 neighborhood of Houston anchors census tract 48201511301, which lands at 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 41% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
55% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,422 a month while the average household earns $158,375 a year, roughly 11% of income at the averages. About 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units2,472
Renter share41.1%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate9.1%
Median income$158,375
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
14
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.7973, -95.4055 · click any tract to drill in
Why Timbergrove Manor Section 2 scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.1% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,422 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Timbergrove Manor Section 2 compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 20
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 18%Socioeconomic
- 18%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 34%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 23%Grade B
- 4%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 57Total filings over 7 yrs
- 1.19%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.6%Peak (2011)
- 5Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 38% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 216Total filings 2020-21
- 2.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 5.76×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Timbergrove Manor Section 2. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Timbergrove Manor Section 2
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 4.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Harris County average of 5.2 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 20th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201511301
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201511301?
Census tract 48201511301 in the Timbergrove Manor Section 2 neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201511301?
Median gross rent is $1,422/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201511301?
9.1% of residents in tract 48201511301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,616.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201511301?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 18th, minority 48th, housing 34th.
Q5
Is tract 48201511301 considered part of Timbergrove Manor Section 2?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201511301 fall within Timbergrove Manor Section 2 (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201511301?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 57 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201511301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.19% of renter households, peaking at 2.6% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48201511301 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 5.76× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48201511301 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201511301 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 48201511301 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Canfield Oaks
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
East Houston
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
East Houston
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Fondren Gardens
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48201221400
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brookhaven
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48201222702
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Remington Ranch
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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