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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Timbergrove Manor Section 2 Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201511501 · Harris, TX · pop 3,309 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Tract 48201511501 sits in the Timbergrove Manor Section 2 area of Houston eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 3,309. At $2,112 a month, rents run 55% over what the rest of Houston commands.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 36% Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,846
Renter share58.5%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate7.8%
Median income$126,071

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Timbergrove Manor Section 2
Very Low
Within parent city
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#756 of 952 tracts In Houston
Low
Within county
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#964 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Very Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.8083, -95.4058 · click any tract to drill in

Why Timbergrove Manor Section 2 scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.8% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$2,112 rent vs county FMR
8.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Timbergrove Manor Section 2 compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Timbergrove Manor Section 2 risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 5115013.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 6

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 141Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 3.48×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Timbergrove Manor Section 2. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Timbergrove Manor Section 2

The voucher gap is 38.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 8.8/10. 38% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Harris County average of 49.5%.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Disability prevalence runs 18.0% against 31.5% nationally. Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 1.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $126,071. 58% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201511501

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201511501?

Census tract 48201511501 in the Timbergrove Manor Section 2 neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201511501?

Median gross rent is $2,112/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201511501?

7.8% of residents in tract 48201511501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,309.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201511501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 2th, minority 60th, housing 15th.
Q5

Is tract 48201511501 considered part of Timbergrove Manor Section 2?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201511501 fall within Timbergrove Manor Section 2 (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201511501 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 3.48× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201511501 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201511501 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 48201511501 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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