Timbergrove Manor Section 2 Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston
Tract 48201511501 · Harris, TX · pop 3,309 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Tract 48201511501 sits in the Timbergrove Manor Section 2 area of Houston eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 3,309. At $2,112 a month, rents run 55% over what the rest of Houston commands.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.8083, -95.4058 · click any tract to drill in
Why Timbergrove Manor Section 2 scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Timbergrove Manor Section 2 compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 6
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 22%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 15%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 24%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 141Total filings 2020-21
- 1.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 3.48×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Timbergrove Manor Section 2. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Timbergrove Manor Section 2
The voucher gap is 38.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 8.8/10. 38% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Harris County average of 49.5%.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Disability prevalence runs 18.0% against 31.5% nationally. Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 1.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $126,071. 58% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 48201511501
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201511501?
What is the average rent in tract 48201511501?
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201511501?
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201511501?
Is tract 48201511501 considered part of Timbergrove Manor Section 2?
Did eviction filings in tract 48201511501 drop during COVID?
How does tract 48201511501 compare to Houston overall?
Was tract 48201511501 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.