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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally

Village of Oak Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201531500 · Harris, TX · pop 2,638 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Tract 48201531500, home to 2,638 residents in the Village of Oak Forest neighborhood of Houston, scores 5.2/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

80% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,331 monthly, set against $57,500 in average yearly household income, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 7% Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,238
Renter share34.8%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate12.1%
Median income$57,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In Village of Oak Forest
Moderate
Within parent city
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#465 of 952 tracts In Houston
Moderate
Within county
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#515 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Moderate
Within state
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#2,323 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.8369, -95.4764 · click any tract to drill in

Why Village of Oak Forest scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.1% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,331 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Village of Oak Forest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Village of Oak Forest risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.64.6This tracttract 531500Houston: 2.82.8Houstonparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 62

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 194Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 10.05%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.5%Peak (2015)
  • 49Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 482015315002009: 13 filings (3.75/100 renter HHs)2010: 35 filings (11.51/100 renter HHs)2011: 34 filings (12.83/100 renter HHs)2012: 20 filings (7.55/100 renter HHs)2013: 19 filings (7.17/100 renter HHs)2014: 24 filings (9.06/100 renter HHs)2015: 49 filings (18.49/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 277% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 151Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.90×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2020-07-01: 4 filings (1.45× baseline)2020-08-01: 5 filings (1.67× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2020-11-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 7 filings (5.60× baseline)2022-03-01: 6 filings (4.80× baseline)2022-04-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2022-05-01: 4 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 10 filings (3.64× baseline)2022-07-01: 13 filings (4.73× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2022-12-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2023-01-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 4 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 6 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 3 filings (0.92× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2024-02-01: 17 filings (13.60× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 6 filings (6.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2024-07-01: 3 filings (1.09× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2024-10-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2024-11-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2024-12-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-01-01: 4 filings (1.60× baseline)2025-02-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2025-03-01: 3 filings (2.40× baseline)2025-04-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2025-05-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 3 filings (1.09× baseline)2025-07-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2025-08-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2025-09-01: 2 filings (0.62× baseline)2025-10-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2025-11-01: 8 filings (2.29× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Village of Oak Forest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Village of Oak Forest

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 3.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Harris County average of 5.2 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 194 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 10.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 18.5% of renter households in 2015.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201531500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201531500?

Census tract 48201531500 in the Village of Oak Forest neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201531500?

Median gross rent is $1,331/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 80% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201531500?

12.1% of residents in tract 48201531500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,638.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201531500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 69th, minority 69th, housing 35th.
Q5

Is tract 48201531500 considered part of Village of Oak Forest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201531500 fall within Village of Oak Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201531500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 194 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201531500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.05% of renter households, peaking at 18.5% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 48201531500 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.90× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 48201531500 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201531500 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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