Within neighborhood
75
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally
Village of Oak Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201531300 · Harris, TX · pop 5,233 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
The Moderate-tier score of 5.5/10 for census tract 48201531300 reflects conditions in the Village of Oak Forest neighborhood of Houston, Texas. It lands near the 55th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 53% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,248 monthly, set against $59,738 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 76% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%
Stable renters 36%
Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units2,209
Renter share75.6%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate24.0%
Median income$59,738
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.8232, -95.4630 · click any tract to drill in
Why Village of Oak Forest scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
24.0% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$1,248 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Village of Oak Forest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 82
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 17%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 83%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 564Total filings over 7 yrs
- 4.88%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.6%Peak (2010)
- 65Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 838Total filings 2020-21
- 10.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 5.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.83×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Village of Oak Forest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Village of Oak Forest
The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Harris County average of 5.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.83x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201531300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201531300?
Census tract 48201531300 in the Village of Oak Forest neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201531300?
Median gross rent is $1,248/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201531300?
24.0% of residents in tract 48201531300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,233.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201531300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 17th, minority 80th, housing 83th.
Q5
Is tract 48201531300 considered part of Village of Oak Forest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201531300 fall within Village of Oak Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201531300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 564 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201531300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.88% of renter households, peaking at 6.6% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48201531300 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.83× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48201531300 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201531300 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Parkridge
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Highland Heights
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Canfield Oaks
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
East Houston
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
East Houston
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Fondren Gardens
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48201221400
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brookhaven
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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