Within neighborhood
75
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Village of Oak Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201532004 · Harris, TX · pop 4,803 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
With a score of 5.1/10, tract 48201532004 in the Village of Oak Forest area of Houston, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,803 residents. The severe-burden share is 45%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 50%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units2,141
Renter share80.7%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate31.5%
Median income$35,485
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
94
th percentile
Very High
Within county
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.8499, -95.4657 · click any tract to drill in
Why Village of Oak Forest scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
31.5% poverty · this tract
7.9
Supply constraint
$932 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Village of Oak Forest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 90%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 462Total filings 2020-21
- 6.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 5.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.04×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Village of Oak Forest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Village of Oak Forest
Adults with no health insurance runs 35.8% against 11.3% nationally. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Cost burden runs 62% here against 49.5% across Harris County. This is renter territory: 81% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.1/10.
Average gross rent is $932, 32% below the Houston average. The poverty rate is 31%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Disability prevalence runs 44.1% against 31.5% nationally. It sits 1.1 points above the Harris County average of 4.0.
Nationally it ranks #31,049 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201532004
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201532004?
Census tract 48201532004 in the Village of Oak Forest neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201532004?
Median gross rent is $932/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201532004?
31.5% of residents in tract 48201532004 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,803.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201532004?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 95th, minority 90th, housing 67th.
Q5
Is tract 48201532004 considered part of Village of Oak Forest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201532004 fall within Village of Oak Forest (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201532004 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.04× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201532004 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201532004 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Chinatown
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Neuen Manor
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Lindale Park
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Holiday Forest
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Gulf Palms
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Chinatown
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Remington Ranch
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Hobby
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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