5 census tracts · pop 19,070 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.2/10
· range 3–5.1
Village of Oak Forest takes in 5 census tracts of Houston, TX and houses 19,070 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.2/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. 56% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Houston rate of 32.1%.
The severe-burden share is 29%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.
The 5 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3 to 5.1, a 2.1-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. Well under the midpoint is housing-court posture, at 2.5/10.
Filings are well documented here: 816 across 3 observed tracts. The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. The worst year on record was 2015, when filings touched 18.5% of renter households.
Average gross rent is $1,243, 9% below the Houston average of $1,361. Among the 397 mapped neighborhoods of Houston, it ranks #121 by risk, the upper third.
Judgments average 3.5% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. The closest comparables inside the same city are Gulf Palms and Royal Oaks Country Club.
Social vulnerability runs high at 7.9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $59,223.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
5 tracts · population-weighted
Village of Oak Forest vs HoustonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority79%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport63%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Village of Oak Forest
Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
816Total filings (sum)
5.95%Avg annual filing rate
18.5%Peak year (2015)
8.60%Latest filed (2015)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
1,992Total filings 2020-21
6.1Avg monthly observed
5.1Pre-pandemic baseline
1.40×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston, TX).
Frequently asked
About Village of Oak Forest
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Village of Oak Forest?
Village of Oak Forest scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Village of Oak Forest compare to Houston overall?
Village of Oak Forest scores 0.5 points higher than Houston overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,243 vs $1,361.
Q3
What is the average rent in Village of Oak Forest?
Average gross rent in Village of Oak Forest is $1,243/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Village of Oak Forest residents are renters?
61% of Village of Oak Forest households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Houston). The neighborhood has 19,070 residents.
Q5
Is Village of Oak Forest a high social-vulnerability area?
Village of Oak Forest sits in the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Village of Oak Forest have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Village of Oak Forest is census tract 48201531300 (score 5.1/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 5.1, a spread of 2.1 points.
Q7
How safe is Village of Oak Forest for landlords?
Village of Oak Forest carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.2/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Houston as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Village of Oak Forest?
Village of Oak Forest has 18,680 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (49.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (30.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (16.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
