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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Lincoln Green South Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201533902 · Harris, TX · pop 5,161 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

48201533902 is a census tract in the Lincoln Green South area of Houston, TX. It scores 5.1/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,161 residents. The severe-burden share is 47%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 50% Stable renters 32% Owners 18%
Tract context
Occupied units1,882
Renter share82.1%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate26.1%
Median income$30,760

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Lincoln Green South
Very High
Within parent city
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#205 of 952 tracts In Houston
High
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#307 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Elevated
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#565 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.9304, -95.5012 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lincoln Green South scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
26.1% poverty · this tract
6.5
Supply constraint
$1,167 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Lincoln Green South compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lincoln Green South risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 5339023.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 604Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 8.04%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.7%Peak (2013)
  • 83Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 48201533902
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 518Total filings 2020-21
  • 6.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 8.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.82×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lincoln Green South. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Green South

Adults with no health insurance runs 34.5% against 11.3% nationally. Annualized rent equals 46% of average household income of $30,760, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

This is renter territory: 82% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Against Harris County at 49.5%, 61% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. The filing record is not thin: 604 evictions over 7 years of observation. At $1,167 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Houston commands.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201533902

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201533902?

Census tract 48201533902 in the Lincoln Green South neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201533902?

Median gross rent is $1,167/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201533902?

26.1% of residents in tract 48201533902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,161.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201533902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 98th, minority 97th, housing 87th.
Q5

Is tract 48201533902 considered part of Lincoln Green South?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201533902 fall within Lincoln Green South (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201533902?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 604 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201533902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.04% of renter households, peaking at 7.7% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 48201533902 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.82× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 48201533902 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201533902 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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