Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,878 of 84,120 nationally
Lincoln Green South Eviction Risk: Elevated , Houston
Tract 48201533902 · Harris, TX · pop 5,161 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
How risky is the Lincoln Green South neighborhood of Houston for landlords? Census tract 48201533902 scores 5.6/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 61% of renter households, a severe level, and 47% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,167 a month against an average household income of $30,760 a year, roughly 46% of income at the averages. About 82% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 50%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 18%
Tract context
Occupied units1,882
Renter share82.1%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate26.1%
Median income$30,760
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
90
th percentile
Very High
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.9304, -95.5012 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lincoln Green South scores 6.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
26.1% poverty · this tract
6.5
Supply constraint
$1,167 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Lincoln Green South compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 87%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 604Total filings over 7 yrs
- 8.04%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.7%Peak (2013)
- 83Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 518Total filings 2020-21
- 6.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 8.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.82×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lincoln Green South. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Green South
What moves this score most is economic stress at 6.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Harris County average of 5.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.82x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 604 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 8.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.7% of renter households in 2013.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201533902
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201533902?
Census tract 48201533902 in the Lincoln Green South neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201533902?
Median gross rent is $1,167/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201533902?
26.1% of residents in tract 48201533902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,161.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201533902?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 98th, minority 97th, housing 87th.
Q5
Is tract 48201533902 considered part of Lincoln Green South?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201533902 fall within Lincoln Green South (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201533902?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 604 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201533902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.04% of renter households, peaking at 7.7% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48201533902 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.82× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48201533902 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201533902 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48201221400
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brookhaven
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Remington Ranch
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48201222702
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Mayfair
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brays Oaks
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brookhaven
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Foster Place
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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