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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Lincoln Green South Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201550901 · Harris, TX · pop 5,986 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 48201550901 sits in the Lincoln Green South area of Houston eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. Population here is 5,986. The severe-burden share is 66%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 6% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,586
Renter share29.6%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate27.5%
Median income$71,719

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In Lincoln Green South
High
Within parent city
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#251 of 952 tracts In Houston
Elevated
Within county
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#323 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Elevated
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#565 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.9513, -95.4938 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lincoln Green South scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
27.5% poverty · this tract
6.9
Supply constraint
$1,775 rent vs county FMR
6.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Lincoln Green South compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lincoln Green South risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 5509013.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 87Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.59×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lincoln Green South. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Green South

81% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Harris County average of 49.5%. Adults with no health insurance runs 32.9% against 11.3% nationally.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Average gross rent is $1,775, 30% above the Houston average. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. The poverty rate is 27%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.

The voucher gap is 16.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Nationally it ranks #31,049 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201550901

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201550901?

Census tract 48201550901 in the Lincoln Green South neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201550901?

Median gross rent is $1,775/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 81% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201550901?

27.5% of residents in tract 48201550901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,986.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201550901?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 94th, minority 91th, housing 18th.
Q5

Is tract 48201550901 considered part of Lincoln Green South?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201550901 fall within Lincoln Green South (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201550901 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.59× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201550901 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201550901 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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