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Neighborhood · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally

Lincoln Green South Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201533904 · Harris, TX · pop 4,488 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 48201533904 runs through Lincoln Green South in Houston. With 4,488 residents, it scores $1/10 for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #52,800 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 76% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,104 a month against an average household income of $51,173 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 10% Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,565
Renter share41.9%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate7.6%
Median income$51,173

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In Lincoln Green South
Very Low
Within county
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#802 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Low
Within state
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#3,847 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Moderate
National
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#48,083 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.9333, -95.4898 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lincoln Green South scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
1.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.6% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,104 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
5.0

How Lincoln Green South compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lincoln Green South risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.63.6This tracttract 533904Houston: 2.82.8Houstonparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 131Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.68×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2020-04-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 1 filings (0.24× baseline)2020-06-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2020-11-01: 3 filings (1.71× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (0.24× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2021-08-01: 5 filings (1.82× baseline)2021-09-01: 2 filings (0.62× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2021-12-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2022-01-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-02-01: 4 filings (1.45× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 3 filings (0.71× baseline)2022-06-01: 6 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-08-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2022-10-01: 3 filings (1.09× baseline)2022-11-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-12-01: 4 filings (1.78× baseline)2023-01-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2023-02-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2023-03-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2023-04-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 1 filings (0.24× baseline)2023-06-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-07-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-08-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2023-09-01: 3 filings (0.92× baseline)2023-10-01: 5 filings (1.82× baseline)2023-11-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2023-12-01: 6 filings (2.67× baseline)2024-01-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2024-02-01: 4 filings (1.45× baseline)2024-03-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2024-04-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 4 filings (0.94× baseline)2024-06-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 2 filings (0.62× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2024-12-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2025-01-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2025-03-01: 3 filings (1.71× baseline)2025-04-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 2 filings (0.47× baseline)2025-06-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2025-07-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2025-09-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2025-10-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2025-11-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2025-12-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2026-01-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lincoln Green South. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Green South

What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Harris County average of 5.2 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.68x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201533904

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201533904?

Census tract 48201533904 in the Lincoln Green South neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201533904?

Median gross rent is $1,104/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 76% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201533904?

7.6% of residents in tract 48201533904 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,488.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201533904?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 89th, minority 95th, housing 80th.
Q5

Is tract 48201533904 considered part of Lincoln Green South?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201533904 fall within Lincoln Green South (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201533904 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.68× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201533904 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201533904 scores 3.6/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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