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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Winchester Country Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201551703 · Harris, TX · pop 8,558 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 48201551703 in the Winchester Country area of Houston, TX reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 8,558 residents. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 22% Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units3,149
Renter share36.7%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate3.6%
Median income$87,346

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Winchester Country
Very High
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#638 of 952 tracts In Houston
Low
Within county
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#1,041 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Very Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.9153, -95.5628 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winchester Country scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,601 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Winchester Country compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Winchester Country risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 5517033.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 361Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 4.78%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.6%Peak (2011)
  • 58Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 48201551703
Filings climbed 49% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 615Total filings 2020-21
  • 8.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.08×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Winchester Country. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winchester Country

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

41% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Harris County average of 49.5%. 16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Average gross rent is $1,601, 18% above the Houston average.

It sits 1.0 points below the Harris County average of 4.0. The filing record is not thin: 361 evictions over 7 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2011 at 5.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.7/10. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201551703

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201551703?

Census tract 48201551703 in the Winchester Country neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201551703?

Median gross rent is $1,601/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201551703?

3.6% of residents in tract 48201551703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,558.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201551703?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 22th, minority 80th, housing 27th.
Q5

Is tract 48201551703 considered part of Winchester Country?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201551703 fall within Winchester Country (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201551703?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 361 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201551703 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.78% of renter households, peaking at 5.6% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 48201551703 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.08× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 48201551703 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201551703 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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