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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Pecan Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201311702 · Harris, TX · pop 2,004 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Tract 48201311702 sits in the Pecan Park area of Houston eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. Population here is 2,004. Severe burden reaches 37%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 51% Stable renters 41% Owners 8%
Tract context
Occupied units682
Renter share92.2%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate51.5%
Median income$29,265

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 7 tracts In Pecan Park
High
Within parent city
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#182 of 952 tracts In Houston
High
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#115 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#565 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.7011, -95.2991 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pecan Park scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
51.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,138 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Pecan Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Pecan Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 3117023.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 381Total filings 2020-21
  • 5.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.51×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Pecan Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pecan Park

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 40.0% against 11.3% nationally.

The poverty rate is 52%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Set annual rent against average income of $29,265 and the ratio lands at 47%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. 92% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Disability prevalence runs 44.8% against 31.5% nationally. Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Cost burden runs 55% here against 49.5% across Harris County.

At $1,138 a month, rents run 16% under what the rest of Houston commands. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201311702

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201311702?

Census tract 48201311702 in the Pecan Park neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201311702?

Median gross rent is $1,138/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201311702?

51.5% of residents in tract 48201311702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,004.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201311702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 85th, minority 98th, housing 57th.
Q5

Is tract 48201311702 considered part of Pecan Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201311702 fall within Pecan Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201311702 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.51× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201311702 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201311702 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 48201311702 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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