Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

College Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , McAllen

Tract 48215020600 · Hidalgo, TX · pop 2,038 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 4.6/10, tract 48215020600 in the College Heights area of McAllen, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,038. Severe burden reaches 36%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 32% Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units710
Renter share65.9%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate46.4%
Median income$27,237

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#4 of 9 tracts In College Heights
Elevated
Within parent city
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 53 tracts In McAllen
High
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#54 of 212 tracts In Hidalgo
Elevated
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#1,731 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across McAllen and the region

Centroid at 26.1987, -98.2431 · click any tract to drill in

Why College Heights scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from McAllen
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
46.4% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$827 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from McAllen
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from McAllen
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from McAllen
3.0

How College Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
College Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 0206003.4McAllenparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within College Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in College Heights

The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 49.2% against 11.3% nationally.

The poverty rate is 46%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Disability prevalence runs 51.9% against 31.5% nationally.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Annualized rent equals 36% of average household income of $27,237, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. 66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Cost burden runs 51% here against 42.3% across Hidalgo County.

At $827 a month, rents run 21% under what the rest of McAllen commands. It sits 0.7 points above the Hidalgo County average of 3.9. Nationally it ranks #39,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48215020600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48215020600?

Census tract 48215020600 in the College Heights neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48215020600?

Median gross rent is $827/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48215020600?

46.4% of residents in tract 48215020600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,038.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48215020600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 100th, minority 99th, housing 52th.
Q5

Is tract 48215020600 considered part of College Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48215020600 fall within College Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48215020600 compare to McAllen overall?

Tract 48215020600 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of McAllen at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from McAllen eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in McAllen

Top eight tracts in McAllen ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related