College Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , McAllen

31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. 78% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $31,542, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 29%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

At $862 a month, rents run 18% under what the rest of McAllen commands. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 7.3/10.

It sits 0.6 points above the Hidalgo County average of 3.9. That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 9.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. 44% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.