Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Carlisle Eviction Risk: Lower , Lubbock
Tract 48303010402 ·
Lubbock, TX · pop 2,365 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Tract 48303010402 sits in the Carlisle area of Lubbock eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 2,365 residents. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%Stable renters 13%Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,012
Renter share21.9%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate10.9%
Median income$66,667
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#2 of 2 tracts In Carlisle
Very Low
Within parent city
38th percentile
#59 of 94 tracts In Lubbock
Low
Within county
3th percentile
#103 of 106 tracts In Lubbock
Very Low
Within state
35th percentile
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lubbock and the region
Centroid at 33.5720, -101.9998 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carlisle scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lubbock
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.4
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.9% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$801 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lubbock
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lubbock
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lubbock
2.0
How Carlisle compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 82
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Severe burden reaches 25%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. At $801 a month, rents run 32% under what the rest of Lubbock commands. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 20.4% against 11.3% nationally. Against the Lubbock County average of 3.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.6 points.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 22% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.4/10. Against average income of $66,667, annual rent is just 14%.
Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
42% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48303010402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48303010402?
Census tract 48303010402 in the Carlisle neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48303010402?
Median gross rent is $801/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48303010402?
10.9% of residents in tract 48303010402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,365.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48303010402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 68th, minority 68th, housing 91th.
Q5
Is tract 48303010402 considered part of Carlisle?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48303010402 fall within Carlisle (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 48303010402 compare to Lubbock overall?
Tract 48303010402 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Lubbock at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lubbock eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lubbock
Top eight tracts in Lubbock ranked by composite eviction-risk score.