Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally

Carlisle Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lubbock

Tract 48303010402 · Lubbock, TX · pop 2,365 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 48303010402 (Carlisle in Lubbock, Texas) comes in at 4.2/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 15th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

42% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $801 a month against an average household income of $66,667 a year, roughly 14% of income at the averages. Renters make up 22% of occupied homes.

Risk score

4.2

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 13% Owners 78%

Tract context

Occupied units1,012

Renter share21.9%

SVI overall0.82

Poverty rate10.9%

Median income$66,667

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lubbock and the region

Centroid at 33.5720, -101.9998 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carlisle scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lubbock

3.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.4

State political climate

Texas legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

10.9% poverty · this tract

2.7

Supply constraint

$801 rent vs county FMR

1.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lubbock

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lubbock

1.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lubbock

2.0

How Carlisle compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

69%Socioeconomic
68%Household composition
68%Racial/ethnic minority
91%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Carlisle. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Carlisle

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 2.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lubbock eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lubbock County average of 4.5 and below the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48303010402

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48303010402?

Census tract 48303010402 in the Carlisle neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 48303010402?

Median gross rent is $801/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 48303010402?

10.9% of residents in tract 48303010402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,365.

How socially vulnerable is tract 48303010402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 68th, minority 68th, housing 91th.

Is tract 48303010402 considered part of Carlisle?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48303010402 fall within Carlisle (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 48303010402 compare to Lubbock overall?

Tract 48303010402 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Lubbock at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lubbock eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lubbock

Top eight tracts in Lubbock ranked by composite eviction-risk score.