Neighborhood · Lubbock, TX

Carlisle Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 4,115 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4/10 · range 3.8–4.2

Carlisle is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Lubbock with 2 census tracts and a population of 4,115 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 55% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 23% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $978/month sits 17% lower than the Lubbock citywide average ($1,182).

Risk score

Moderate

2 tracts · population-weighted

Carlisle vs Lubbock How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

55.4% +67%

Lubbock: 33.1%

Average gross rent

$978 -17%

Lubbock: $1,182

Average HH income

$79,205 +31%

Lubbock: $60,487

Poverty rate

10.8% -43%

Lubbock: 19.0%

Renter share

29.9% -39%

Lubbock: 48.8%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Carlisle and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.8–4.2

Why Carlisle scores 4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts

3.4

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Rent control risk

55% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

30% renter households · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts

2.0

Economic stress

10.8% below poverty line · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts

2.7

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.7–5.2 across tracts

3.2

Risk score comparison

Carlisle vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

2 tracts in Carlisle

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
48303010402	4.2	2,365	42%	$801
48303000406	3.8	1,750	73%	$1,218

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 54

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 55%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 44%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 64%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 56%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Frequently asked

About Carlisle

What is the eviction-risk score for Carlisle?

Carlisle scores 4/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Carlisle compare to Lubbock overall?

Carlisle scores 1.3 points higher than Lubbock overall (2.7/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $978 vs $1,182.

What is the average rent in Carlisle?

Average gross rent in Carlisle is $978/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Carlisle residents are renters?

30% of Carlisle households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in Lubbock). The neighborhood has 4,115 residents.

Is Carlisle a high social-vulnerability area?

Carlisle sits in the 54th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Carlisle have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Carlisle is census tract 48303010402 (score 4.2/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.8 to 4.2, a spread of 0.4 points.

How safe is Carlisle for landlords?

Carlisle carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lubbock as a whole (2.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Carlisle?

Carlisle has 3,893 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (46.9%), Hispanic / Latino (36.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (7.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Carlisle

5.6 Elm Park 2 tracts · pop 9,378 4.8 Shadow Hills 3 tracts · pop 10,692 3.9 Ironton 7 tracts · pop 18,755 5.1 North By Northwest 5 tracts · pop 20,111 3.5 The Ridge 4 tracts · pop 11,525 3.9 Quaker Heights 8 tracts · pop 23,385

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lubbock

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Carlisle.

3.8 Quaker Heights 8 tracts · pop 23,385 3.8 Ironton 7 tracts · pop 18,755 3.4 The Ridge 4 tracts · pop 11,525 4.8 Shadow Hills 3 tracts · pop 10,692 5.1 North By Northwest 5 tracts · pop 20,111 5.2 South Overton 10 tracts · pop 25,223

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