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Neighborhood · Lubbock, TX

Carlisle Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 4,115 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Carlisle takes in 2 census tracts of Lubbock, TX and houses 4,115 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, Lower tier. Against a Lubbock baseline of 33.1%, 55% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 23%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 1.5/10.

Running cool is housing-court posture, at 2/10. At $978 a month, rents sit 17% under what the rest of Lubbock commands.

Among the 11 mapped neighborhoods of Lubbock, it ranks #9 by risk, the lower third. The closest comparables inside the same city are The Ridge and Hatton Place.

Against average income of $79,205, annual rent is only 15%, a wide affordability cushion. Its 2 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. 30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Carlisle vs Lubbock How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
55.4% +67%
Lubbock: 33.1%
Average gross rent
$978 -17%
Lubbock: $1,182
Average HH income
$79,205 +31%
Lubbock: $60,487
Poverty rate
10.8% -43%
Lubbock: 19.0%
Renter share
29.9% -39%
Lubbock: 48.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Carlisle and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–3

Why Carlisle scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Rent control risk
55% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
30% renter households · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Economic stress
10.8% below poverty line · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts
2.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.7–5.2 across tracts
3.2
Risk score comparison

Carlisle vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Carlisle score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0CarlisleNeighborhood3.2Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Carlisle

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
48303010402 3 2,365 42% $801
48303000406 3 1,750 73% $1,218
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 54

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 55%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 44%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 64%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 56%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Carlisle

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Carlisle?

Carlisle scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Carlisle compare to Lubbock overall?

Carlisle scores 0.2 points lower than Lubbock overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $978 vs $1,182.
Q3

What is the average rent in Carlisle?

Average gross rent in Carlisle is $978/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Carlisle residents are renters?

30% of Carlisle households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in Lubbock). The neighborhood has 4,115 residents.
Q5

Is Carlisle a high social-vulnerability area?

Carlisle sits in the 54th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Carlisle have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Carlisle is census tract 48303010402 (score 3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Carlisle for landlords?

Carlisle carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lubbock as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Carlisle?

Carlisle has 3,893 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (46.9%), Hispanic / Latino (36.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (7.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Carlisle

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lubbock

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Carlisle.

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