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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Arlington Lakeside Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48439111506 · Tarrant, TX · pop 6,185 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Census tract 48439111506 covers part of the Arlington Lakeside area of Pantego, TX, and scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,185. 27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 20% Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units2,655
Renter share51.0%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate14.6%
Median income$57,360

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 7 tracts In Arlington Lakeside
Very High
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Arlington
Moderate
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 449 tracts In Tarrant
Very High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#375 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Arlington and the region

Centroid at 32.7157, -97.1616 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arlington Lakeside scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Arlington
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.6% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,227 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arlington
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arlington
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arlington
7.0

How Arlington Lakeside compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Arlington Lakeside risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.2This tracttract 1115063.4Arlingtonparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 76

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,410Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 10.55%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.3%Peak (2008)
  • 81Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 48439111506
Filings climbed 37% over the past 17 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 899Total filings 2020-21
  • 11.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 11.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.07×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Arlington Lakeside. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arlington Lakeside

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.6/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Cost burden runs 60% here against 50.2% across Tarrant County. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10. Against the Tarrant County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,410 filings here across 17 tracked years. At $1,227 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Pantego commands. Filings peaked in 2008 at 17.3% of renter households.

In a typical year about 10.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48439111506

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48439111506?

Census tract 48439111506 in the Arlington Lakeside neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48439111506?

Median gross rent is $1,227/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48439111506?

14.6% of residents in tract 48439111506 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,185.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48439111506?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 75th, minority 58th, housing 64th.
Q5

Is tract 48439111506 considered part of Arlington Lakeside?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48439111506 fall within Arlington Lakeside (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48439111506?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,410 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 48439111506 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.55% of renter households, peaking at 17.3% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 48439111506 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.07× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 48439111506 compare to Arlington overall?

Tract 48439111506 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Arlington at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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