Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Fort Worth Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 48439123200 · Tarrant, TX · pop 3,255 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 48439123200 runs through the Downtown Fort Worth area of Fort Worth. With 3,255 residents, it scores $1/10 for landlords. That is riskier than about 37% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 47% of renter households, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,653 a month against an average household income of $63,340 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 89% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42%
Stable renters 47%
Owners 11%
Tract context
Occupied units2,065
Renter share88.6%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate11.5%
Median income$63,340
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
48
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fort Worth and the region
Centroid at 32.7708, -97.3286 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown Fort Worth scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fort Worth
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.5% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,653 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Worth
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Worth
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Worth
2.5
How Downtown Fort Worth compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 62%Socioeconomic
- 16%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 63%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 8%Grade C
- 21%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 245Total filings over 17 yrs
- 3.24%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.0%Peak (2001)
- 20Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 41% over the past 17 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 730Total filings 2020-21
- 9.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.43×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown Fort Worth. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown Fort Worth
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 4.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fort Worth eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Tarrant County average of 5.1 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 56th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 2.43x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48439123200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48439123200?
Census tract 48439123200 in the Downtown Fort Worth neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48439123200?
Median gross rent is $1,653/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48439123200?
11.5% of residents in tract 48439123200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,255.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48439123200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 16th, minority 70th, housing 63th.
Q5
Is tract 48439123200 considered part of Downtown Fort Worth?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48439123200 fall within Downtown Fort Worth (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48439123200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 245 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 48439123200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.24% of renter households, peaking at 7.0% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48439123200 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.43× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48439123200 compare to Fort Worth overall?
Tract 48439123200 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Fort Worth at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Worth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 48439123200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 21% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fort Worth
Top eight tracts in Fort Worth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48439105201
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48439105902
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48439106520
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48439105207
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48439103800
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48439106300
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48439104504
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48439104505
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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