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Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Fort Worth Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 48439123301 · Tarrant, TX · pop 1,424 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 48439123301 sits in the Downtown Fort Worth area of Fort Worth eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.5/10. It is home to 1,424 residents. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 42% Owners 14%
Tract context
Occupied units1,061
Renter share85.7%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate14.2%
Median income$96,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Downtown Fort Worth
Low
Within parent city
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#115 of 203 tracts In Fort Worth
Moderate
Within county
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#234 of 449 tracts In Tarrant
Moderate
Within state
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#3,589 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort Worth and the region

Centroid at 32.7445, -97.3449 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Fort Worth scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fort Worth
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.2% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,845 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Worth
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Worth
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Worth
2.5

How Downtown Fort Worth compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown Fort Worth risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.5This tracttract 1233013.4Fort Worthparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 38

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 361Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 4.46×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Fort Worth. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Fort Worth

86% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.6/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

At $1,845 a month, rents run 22% over what the rest of Fort Worth commands. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Fort Worth. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Nationally it ranks #57,812 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.5/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

about half of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Tarrant County average of 3.8 closely. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $96,250.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48439123301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48439123301?

Census tract 48439123301 in the Downtown Fort Worth neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48439123301?

Median gross rent is $1,845/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48439123301?

14.2% of residents in tract 48439123301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,424.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48439123301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 7th, minority 41th, housing 79th.
Q5

Is tract 48439123301 considered part of Downtown Fort Worth?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48439123301 fall within Downtown Fort Worth (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48439123301 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 4.46× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48439123301 compare to Fort Worth overall?

Tract 48439123301 scores 3.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Fort Worth at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Worth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 48439123301 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 28% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fort Worth

Top eight tracts in Fort Worth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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