Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #51,553 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Fort Worth Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 48439123301 · Tarrant, TX · pop 1,424 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 48439123301 (the Downtown Fort Worth neighborhood of Fort Worth, Texas) comes in at 5.2/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 44% of US census tracts.
51% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,845 a month against an average household income of $96,250 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 86% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44%
Stable renters 42%
Owners 14%
Tract context
Occupied units1,061
Renter share85.7%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate14.2%
Median income$96,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
45
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fort Worth and the region
Centroid at 32.7445, -97.3449 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown Fort Worth scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fort Worth
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.2% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,845 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Worth
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Worth
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Worth
2.5
How Downtown Fort Worth compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 38
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 7%Household composition
- 41%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 3%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 32%Grade C
- 28%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 361Total filings 2020-21
- 4.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 4.46×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown Fort Worth. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown Fort Worth
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 5.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fort Worth eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Tarrant County average of 5.1 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 38th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Part of this tract, about 28% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48439123301
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48439123301?
Census tract 48439123301 in the Downtown Fort Worth neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48439123301?
Median gross rent is $1,845/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48439123301?
14.2% of residents in tract 48439123301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,424.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48439123301?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 7th, minority 41th, housing 79th.
Q5
Is tract 48439123301 considered part of Downtown Fort Worth?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48439123301 fall within Downtown Fort Worth (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48439123301 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 4.46× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48439123301 compare to Fort Worth overall?
Tract 48439123301 scores 3.4/10, higher than the parent city of Fort Worth at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Worth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 48439123301 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 28% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fort Worth
Top eight tracts in Fort Worth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48439105201
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48439105207
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48439105902
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48439106520
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48439100505
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48439103800
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48439106300
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48439104504
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Related