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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Fort Worth Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48439101700 · Tarrant, TX · pop 1,868 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 48439101700 runs through the Downtown Fort Worth neighborhood of Fort Worth. With 1,868 residents, it scores 4.9/10 for landlords. It lands near the 34th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 21% of renter households, a modest level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,150 a month while the average household earns $43,482 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. Renters make up 59% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 47% Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units283
Renter share59.4%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate55.2%
Median income$43,482

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Downtown Fort Worth
Very High
Within parent city
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 203 tracts In Fort Worth
Very High
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#31 of 449 tracts In Tarrant
Very High
Within state
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#1,438 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort Worth and the region

Centroid at 32.7548, -97.3132 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Fort Worth scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fort Worth
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
55.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,150 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Worth
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Worth
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Worth
2.5

How Downtown Fort Worth compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown Fort Worth risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 101700Fort Worth: 2.62.6Fort Worthparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,576Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 33.73%Avg annual filing rate
  • 56.3%Peak (2012)
  • 27Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 484391017002001: 224 filings (49.02/100 renter HHs)2002: 154 filings (33.70/100 renter HHs)2003: 157 filings (34.35/100 renter HHs)2004: 211 filings (46.17/100 renter HHs)2005: 157 filings (36.01/100 renter HHs)2006: 188 filings (43.12/100 renter HHs)2007: 142 filings (32.57/100 renter HHs)2008: 189 filings (43.35/100 renter HHs)2009: 177 filings (40.60/100 renter HHs)2010: 161 filings (33.47/100 renter HHs)2011: 159 filings (34.95/100 renter HHs)2012: 256 filings (56.26/100 renter HHs)2013: 178 filings (39.12/100 renter HHs)2014: 87 filings (19.12/100 renter HHs)2015: 54 filings (11.87/100 renter HHs)2016: 55 filings (13.19/100 renter HHs)2017: 27 filings (6.47/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 88% over the past 17 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 129Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.44×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 11 filings (2.20× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 5 filings (0.83× baseline)2020-06-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 2 filings (0.17× baseline)2020-08-01: 4 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 1 filings (0.20× baseline)2021-10-01: 1 filings (0.18× baseline)2021-11-01: 3 filings (6.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-03-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-05-01: 2 filings (0.33× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 8 filings (0.70× baseline)2022-08-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 3 filings (0.60× baseline)2022-10-01: 3 filings (0.55× baseline)2022-11-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 1 filings (0.14× baseline)2023-01-01: 2 filings (0.40× baseline)2023-02-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2023-03-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 1 filings (0.17× baseline)2023-06-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 3 filings (0.26× baseline)2023-08-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 1 filings (0.18× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 1 filings (0.20× baseline)2024-02-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2024-03-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2024-04-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2024-05-01: 2 filings (0.33× baseline)2024-06-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 2 filings (0.17× baseline)2024-08-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2024-09-01: 2 filings (0.40× baseline)2024-10-01: 1 filings (0.18× baseline)2024-11-01: 4 filings (8.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 7 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 1 filings (0.20× baseline)2025-02-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-05-01: 1 filings (0.17× baseline)2025-06-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 1 filings (0.09× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 1 filings (0.20× baseline)2025-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 2 filings (0.29× baseline)2026-01-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Fort Worth. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Fort Worth

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fort Worth eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Tarrant County average of 5.1 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 74% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48439101700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48439101700?

Census tract 48439101700 in the Downtown Fort Worth neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48439101700?

Median gross rent is $1,150/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 21% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48439101700?

55.2% of residents in tract 48439101700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,868.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48439101700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 97th, minority 82th, housing 84th.
Q5

Is tract 48439101700 considered part of Downtown Fort Worth?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48439101700 fall within Downtown Fort Worth (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48439101700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,576 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 48439101700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 33.73% of renter households, peaking at 56.3% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 48439101700 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.44× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 48439101700 compare to Fort Worth overall?

Tract 48439101700 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Fort Worth at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Worth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 48439101700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 74% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fort Worth

Top eight tracts in Fort Worth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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