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Census Tract · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Fort Worth Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48439105902 · Tarrant, TX · pop 5,840

With a score of 4.8/10, tract 48439105902 in Fort Worth, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,840 residents. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 54% Stable renters 38% Owners 8%
Tract context
Occupied units1,373
Renter share91.8%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate43.2%
Median income$38,973

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#24 of 203 tracts In Fort Worth
High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 449 tracts In Tarrant
Very High
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#1,261 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
National
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#35,669 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort Worth and the region

Centroid at 32.6752, -97.2954 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fort Worth scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fort Worth
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
43.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,236 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Worth
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Worth
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Worth
2.5

How Fort Worth compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fort Worth risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 1059023.4Fort Worthparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,822Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 27.73%Avg annual filing rate
  • 109.3%Peak (2003)
  • 31Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 48439105902
Filings dropped 72% over the past 17 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,062Total filings 2020-21
  • 13.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 9.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.44×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fort Worth

The poverty rate is 43%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Adults with no health insurance runs 32.8% against 11.3% nationally. 92% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $38,973 and the ratio lands at 38%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.6/10.

Disability prevalence runs 45.9% against 31.5% nationally. Against Tarrant County at 50.2%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened. At $1,236 a month, rents run 18% under what the rest of Fort Worth commands.

It sits 1.0 points above the Tarrant County average of 3.8. Court records carry 2,822 eviction filings across 17 observed years.

Filings peaked in 2003 at 109.3% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 27.7% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48439105902

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48439105902?

Census tract 48439105902 in Fort Worth scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48439105902?

Median gross rent is $1,236/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48439105902?

43.2% of residents in tract 48439105902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,840.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48439105902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 89th, minority 88th, housing 98th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48439105902?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,822 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 48439105902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 27.73% of renter households, peaking at 109.3% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48439105902 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.44× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48439105902 compare to Fort Worth overall?

Tract 48439105902 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Fort Worth at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Worth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 48439105902 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fort Worth

Top eight tracts in Fort Worth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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