Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally
The Triangle Eviction Risk: Lower , Austin
Tract 48453000203 · Travis, TX · pop 3,020 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Eviction risk in the The Triangle area of Austin centers on tract 48453000203, which scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 3,020 residents. It lands near the 59th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 45% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,136 monthly, set against $95,778 in average yearly household income, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 99% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45%
Stable renters 54%
Owners 1%
Tract context
Occupied units1,150
Renter share99.0%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate16.6%
Median income$95,778
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
51
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Austin and the region
Centroid at 30.3126, -97.7367 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Triangle scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Austin
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.6% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$2,136 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Austin
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Austin
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Austin
4.5
How The Triangle compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 46
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 44%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 57%Racial/ethnic minority
- 93%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 29%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 19Total filings over 9 yrs
- 0.54%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.1%Peak (2002)
- 1Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Triangle. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Triangle
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Austin eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Travis County average of 5.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 46th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 19 eviction filings here over 9 tracked years, with about 0.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 1.1% of renter households in 2002.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48453000203
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48453000203?
Census tract 48453000203 in the The Triangle neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48453000203?
Median gross rent is $2,136/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48453000203?
16.6% of residents in tract 48453000203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,020.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48453000203?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 3th, minority 57th, housing 93th.
Q5
Is tract 48453000203 considered part of The Triangle?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48453000203 fall within The Triangle (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48453000203?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 19 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 48453000203 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.54% of renter households, peaking at 1.1% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 48453000203 compare to Austin overall?
Tract 48453000203 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of Austin at 2.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Austin eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 48453000203 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Austin
Top eight tracts in Austin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
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6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
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6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
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The Drag
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
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Hemphill Park
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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6
/ 10 · Elevated
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