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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

The Triangle Eviction Risk: Moderate , Austin

Tract 48453000203 · Travis, TX · pop 3,020 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 48453000203 covers part of the The Triangle area of Austin, TX, and scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,020 residents. 99% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 54% Owners 1%
Tract context
Occupied units1,150
Renter share99.0%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate16.6%
Median income$95,778

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In The Triangle
Very High
Within parent city
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#86 of 239 tracts In Austin
Elevated
Within county
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#89 of 290 tracts In Travis
Elevated
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#1,731 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Austin and the region

Centroid at 30.3126, -97.7367 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Triangle scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Austin
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.6% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$2,136 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Austin
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Austin
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Austin
4.5

How The Triangle compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Triangle risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 0002034.0Austinparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 19Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 0.54%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.1%Peak (2002)
  • 1Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2012
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 48453000203
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The Triangle. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Triangle

Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. At $2,136 a month, rents run 24% over what the rest of Austin commands.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 19 filings here across 9 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2002 at 1.1% of renter households.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 0.5% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 5.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 45% of renters. It tracks the Travis County average of 4.0 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48453000203

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48453000203?

Census tract 48453000203 in the The Triangle neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48453000203?

Median gross rent is $2,136/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48453000203?

16.6% of residents in tract 48453000203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,020.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48453000203?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 3th, minority 57th, housing 93th.
Q5

Is tract 48453000203 considered part of The Triangle?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48453000203 fall within The Triangle (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48453000203?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 19 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 48453000203 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.54% of renter households, peaking at 1.1% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 48453000203 compare to Austin overall?

Tract 48453000203 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Austin at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Austin eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 48453000203 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Austin

Top eight tracts in Austin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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