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Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally

The Triangle Eviction Risk: Moderate , Austin

Tract 48453000305 · Travis, TX · pop 3,529 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

With a score of 4.2/10, tract 48453000305 in the The Triangle area of Austin, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 37% Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units1,912
Renter share76.5%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate8.9%
Median income$80,230

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In The Triangle
Very Low
Within parent city
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#117 of 239 tracts In Austin
Moderate
Within county
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#118 of 290 tracts In Travis
Elevated
Within state
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#2,442 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Austin and the region

Centroid at 30.3149, -97.7263 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Triangle scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Austin
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.9% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,606 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Austin
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Austin
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Austin
4.5

How The Triangle compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Triangle risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.2This tracttract 0003054.0Austinparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 14

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 218Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 1.64%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.3%Peak (2002)
  • 17Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2012
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 48453000305
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The Triangle. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Triangle

76% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. 21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Disability prevalence runs 19.4% against 31.5% nationally.

Cost burden runs 51% here against 44.8% across Travis County. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 218 filings here across 12 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2002, when 3.3% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Austin. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 1.6% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48453000305

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48453000305?

Census tract 48453000305 in the The Triangle neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48453000305?

Median gross rent is $1,606/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48453000305?

8.9% of residents in tract 48453000305 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,529.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48453000305?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 2th, minority 38th, housing 30th.
Q5

Is tract 48453000305 considered part of The Triangle?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48453000305 fall within The Triangle (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48453000305?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 218 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 48453000305 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.64% of renter households, peaking at 3.3% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 48453000305 compare to Austin overall?

Tract 48453000305 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Austin at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Austin eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 48453000305 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Austin

Top eight tracts in Austin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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